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Is the First-Past-the-Post Necessarily the First?

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  • Arijit Chakrabarty

Abstract

In this short note, the probability of the event that in a first-past-the-post voting system, the party winning the maximum number of seats loses in terms of popular votes, is studied under a few simplifying assumptions. It turns out that the said probability is roughly 20 per cent. That is, one-fifth of the times, the said event will happen, on the average. JEL Classifications: D04, D72, D78

Suggested Citation

  • Arijit Chakrabarty, 2018. "Is the First-Past-the-Post Necessarily the First?," Studies in Microeconomics, , vol. 6(1-2), pages 133-139, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:miceco:v:6:y:2018:i:1-2:p:133-139
    DOI: 10.1177/2321022218803214
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    First-past-the-post system; voting; majority rule; democracy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D04 - Microeconomics - - General - - - Microeconomic Policy: Formulation; Implementation; Evaluation
    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
    • D78 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Positive Analysis of Policy Formulation and Implementation

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