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Asymmetric Labor Market Reforms: Effects on Wage Growth and Conversion Probability of Fixed-Term Contracts

Author

Listed:
  • Marta Silva
  • Luis Filipe Martins
  • Helena Lopes

Abstract

The authors investigate the impact of a change in employment protection laws in Portugal that increased the maximum legal duration of fixed-term contracts. They find that this reform led to a reduction in the probability that a worker on a fixed-term contract would be converted to a permanent contract. In addition, those workers who had their contracts converted experienced a significantly higher hourly wage growth at the time of conversion and faced a lower reduction in wage growth during the years in which the changed legislation was in force. Consequently, the implementation of this law led to a 27% increase in the wage-growth differential between the two contracts. The findings are based on an endogenous regime-switching model using rich administrative linked employer–employee data.

Suggested Citation

  • Marta Silva & Luis Filipe Martins & Helena Lopes, 2018. "Asymmetric Labor Market Reforms: Effects on Wage Growth and Conversion Probability of Fixed-Term Contracts," ILR Review, Cornell University, ILR School, vol. 71(3), pages 760-788, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:ilrrev:v:71:y:2018:i:3:p:760-788
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Pierre Cahuc & Pauline Carry & Franck Malherbet & Pedro S Martins, 2022. "Employment Effects of Restricting Fixed-Term Contracts: Theory and Evidence," Working Papers hal-03881622, HAL.
    2. Paulo Marques & Dora Fonseca, 2022. "Understanding the positions taken by moderate union confederations and centre-left parties during labour market reforms in Portugal and Spain: Why the configuration of left parties and trade union con," European Journal of Industrial Relations, , vol. 28(1), pages 65-84, March.
    3. Pereira, João & Ramos, Raul & Martins, Pedro S., 2024. "Wage Cyclicality and Labour Market Institutions," IZA Discussion Papers 16787, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    4. Martins, Pedro S., 2021. "Should the maximum duration of fixed-term contracts increase in recessions? Evidence from a law reform," International Review of Law and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    5. Kabátek, Jan & Liang, Ying & Zheng, Kun, 2023. "Are shorter cumulative temporary contracts worse stepping stones? Evidence from a quasi-natural experiment," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    6. Paolo Barbieri & Giorgio Cutuli, 2018. "Dual Labour Market Intermediaries in Italy: How to Lay off “Lemons”—Thereby Creating a Problem of Adverse Selection," De Economist, Springer, vol. 166(4), pages 477-502, December.
    7. Pierre Cahuc & Pauline Carry & Franck Malherbet & Pedro S. Martins, 2023. "Spillover effects of employment protection," Nova SBE Working Paper Series wp655, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Nova School of Business and Economics.
    8. Diti Goswami & Sourabh Bikas Paul, 2020. "Labor Reforms in Rajasthan: A boon or a bane?," Papers 2012.01016, arXiv.org.

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