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The Estimation of International Migration Flows: A General Technique Focused on the Origin-Destination Association Structure

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  • James Raymer

    (Division of Social Statistics, School of Social Sciences, University of Southampton, Highfield, Southampton S017 1BJ, England)

Abstract

The log-linear model, with an alternative parameter coding scheme, is used in this paper to obtain estimates of international migration flows in situations where the data are inadequate or missing. The alternative parameter coding scheme is particularly useful in constructing the origin-destination association stricture—a key element often required for more-accurate predictions. To illustrate the method, international migration flows between countries in the northern region of Europe during the 1999–2000 period are estimated.

Suggested Citation

  • James Raymer, 2007. "The Estimation of International Migration Flows: A General Technique Focused on the Origin-Destination Association Structure," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 39(4), pages 985-995, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:envira:v:39:y:2007:i:4:p:985-995
    DOI: 10.1068/a38264
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Andrei Rogers & Frans Willekens & And Raymer, 2001. "Modeling interregional migration flows: Continuity and change," Mathematical Population Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(3-4), pages 231-263.
    2. Frans Willekens, 1999. "Modeling approaches to the indirect estimation of migration flows: From entropy to EM," Mathematical Population Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(3), pages 239-278.
    3. P. Nair, 1985. "Estimation of period-specific gross migration flows from limited data: Bi-proportional adjustment approach," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 22(1), pages 133-142, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Vitanov, Nikolay K. & Vitanov, Kaloyan N., 2018. "Discrete-time model for a motion of substance in a channel of a network with application to channels of human migration," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 509(C), pages 635-650.
    2. Vitanov, Nikolay K. & Vitanov, Kaloyan N., 2016. "Box model of migration channels," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 108-114.
    3. Cordera, Rubén & Sañudo, Roberto & dell’Olio, Luigi & Ibeas, Ángel, 2018. "Trip distribution model for regional railway services considering spatial effects between stations," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 77-84.
    4. Guy J. Abel, 2010. "Estimation of international migration flow tables in Europe," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 173(4), pages 797-825, October.
    5. Vitanov, Nikolay K. & Vitanov, Kaloyan N., 2018. "On the motion of substance in a channel of a network and human migration," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 490(C), pages 1277-1294.
    6. James Raymer & Guy Abel & Peter W. F. Smith, 2007. "Combining census and registration data to estimate detailed elderly migration flows in England and Wales," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 170(4), pages 891-908, October.

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