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Modeling interregional migration flows: Continuity and change

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  • Andrei Rogers
  • Frans Willekens
  • And Raymer

Abstract

This paper addresses the question of how to formally represent the spatial structure of an observed origin‐destination‐specific pattern of interregional migration flows. Such a representation allows an analyst to compare the spatial structures of different migration regimes and contrast their changes over time. It also facilitates the indirect estimation of migration flows, in the absence of such data, by allowing the analyst to impose a particular age or spatial structure when observed flow data are inadequate, partial, or completely nonexistent. In this paper, we focus on the level and allocation aspects (or the generation and distribution components) of age‐specific interregional migration flows. We find that over time these flows exhibit strong regularities that can be captured by generalized linear models, which can then be used in situations where data are inadequate or missing to indirectly estimate interregional migration patterns.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrei Rogers & Frans Willekens & And Raymer, 2001. "Modeling interregional migration flows: Continuity and change," Mathematical Population Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(3-4), pages 231-263.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:mpopst:v:9:y:2001:i:3-4:p:231-263
    DOI: 10.1080/08898480109525506
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    Cited by:

    1. Robert Schoen & Stefan H. Jonsson, 2003. "Estimating multistate transition rates from population distributions," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 9(1), pages 1-24.
    2. James Raymer, 2007. "The Estimation of International Migration Flows: A General Technique Focused on the Origin-Destination Association Structure," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 39(4), pages 985-995, April.
    3. Jaewon Lim, 2017. "Out-migration from the epicenters of the housing bubble burst during and in the aftermath of the Great Recession in the USA," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 59(2), pages 297-319, September.
    4. Nashrul Wajdi & Clara H. Mulder & Sri M. Adioetomo, 2017. "Inter-regional migration in Indonesia: a micro approach," Journal of Population Research, Springer, vol. 34(3), pages 253-277, September.

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