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Development Aspects of Migration in Third World Settings: A Simulation, with Implications for Urbanization

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  • L A Brown
  • F C Stetzer

Abstract

In this paper we report a simulation addressing development—migration interrelationships in Third World settings and their implications for urbanization. Development is represented as the diffusion of demographic transition, employment opportunities, and formal and communication channels, which in turn affect informal communications and the overall economic base. The simulation falls within the genre of neoclassical development models, but, unlike many, explicitly explores the long-run aspects of landscape evolution. Our outcomes generally conform with expectations hypothesized in earlier research, including phenomena such as polarization reversal, converging regional disparities, and low-level equilibrium traps at small remote places where continual resource drain thwarts the agglomeration economies necessary for sustained growth. We also find that the initial urban system configuration has little effect on the final configuration, and that only urban size diseconomies are likely to alter significantly the size, spatial distribution, and spatial characteristics of the urban system.

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  • L A Brown & F C Stetzer, 1984. "Development Aspects of Migration in Third World Settings: A Simulation, with Implications for Urbanization," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 16(12), pages 1583-1603, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:envira:v:16:y:1984:i:12:p:1583-1603
    DOI: 10.1068/a161583
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Poonam Thapa & Dennis Conway, 1983. "Internal Migration In Contemporary Nepal: Models Which Internalize Development Policies," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 53(1), pages 27-42, January.
    2. Emilio Casetti, 1982. "The Onset Of Modern Economic Growth: Empirical Validation Of A Catastrophe Model," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 50(1), pages 9-20, January.
    3. Havens, A Eugene & Flinn, William, 1975. "Green Revolution Technology and Community Development: The Limits of Action Programs," Economic Development and Cultural Change, University of Chicago Press, vol. 23(3), pages 469-481, April.
    4. Lipton, Michael, 1980. "Migration from rural areas of poor countries: The impact on rural productivity and income distribution," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 8(1), pages 1-24, January.
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    1. Lawrence Brown & John Jones, 1985. "Spatial Variation In Migration Processes And Development: A Costa Rican Example Of Conventional Modeling Augmented By The Expansion Method," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 22(3), pages 327-352, August.
    2. Lawrence Brown & Andrew Goetz, 1987. "Development-related contextual effects and individual attributes in third world migration processes: A Venezuelan example," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 24(4), pages 497-516, November.

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