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The macroeconomic impact of Basel III on the Italian economy

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  • Alberto Locarno

    ()
    (Banca d'Italia)

Abstract

This paper provides an assessment of the costs for Italy of complying with Basel III. The main findings are the following. For each percentage point increase in the capital ratio implemented over an eight-year horizon, the level of GDP would decline by 0.00-0.33% (0.03-0.39% if credit rationing is also accounted for), corresponding to a reduction of annual output growth in the transition period of 0.00-0.04 percentage points (0.00-0.05 if credit rationing is considered as well). Compliance with the new liquidity standards causes an additional reduction of GDP growth of 0.00-0.02 percentage points. If banks felt forced to bring forward the transition to the new capital rules to 2013, the fall in output would be larger and would take place be- forehand. Long-run costs of achieving the new capital standards are even lower, slightly less than 0.2%; those needed to comply with the target liquidity ratio are of a similar size.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Istituto di Cultura Bancaria Francesco Parrillo in its journal Rivista Bancaria - Minerva Bancaria.

Volume (Year): (2011)
Issue (Month): 5-6 (november)
Pages:

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Handle: RePEc:rvs:bancar:11_5_3

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Related research

Keywords: Basel III; Modigliani-Miller theorem; flow/stock costs of equity finance; capital/liquidity requirements;

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Cited by:
  1. Eufrocinio M. Bernabe, Jr. & Jami’ah Jaffar, 2013. "Gauging the Macroeconomic Impact of Basel III on Malaysia," Staff Papers, South East Asian Central Banks (SEACEN) Research and Training Centre, number sp87, June.
  2. Andrea Nobili & Francesco Zollino, 2012. "A structural model for the housing and credit markets in Italy," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 887, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  3. Claudia Miani & Giulio Nicoletti & Alessandro Notarpietro & Massimiliano Pisani, 2012. "Banks’ balance sheets and the macroeconomy in the Bank of Italy Quarterly Model," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 135, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.

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