Alternative Methods of Estimating the Okun Coefficient. Applications for Romania
AbstractThe purpose of this study is to estimate the Okun coefficient for Romania for the 1991-2004 period. In order to derive it, I use a few alternative methods. As a dependent variable I use the gap of the unemployment rate while the independent variable is the gap of the production, where the aggregate production is approximated by the industrial production. I estimate the relationship through an ARDL model and through a bivariate structural VAR. The results indicate an Okun coefficient of about -0.17 which suggests some rigidity of the labor market.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Institute for Economic Forecasting in its journal Romanian Journal of Economic Forecasting.
Volume (Year): 3 (2006)
Issue (Month): 4 (December)
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Business Cycles; Unemployment; Okun's Law;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
- E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution
- E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
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- Petre Caraiani, 2010. "Bayesian Linear Estimation of Okun Coefficient for Romania: Sensitivity to Priors Distributions," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 13(38), pages 53-65, December.
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