IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/rfa/aefjnl/v8y2021i3p9-21.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Asymmetric Effects of Real Exchange Rate on Trade Balance in Cote d’Ivoire: Evidence from Nonlinear ARDL Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Yaya KEHO

Abstract

This paper analyses the effects of real exchange rate on the trade balance in Cote d’Ivoire using times series from 1975 to 2017. Although many studies have investigated this issue, most of them assume that this relationship is symmetric. This paper relaxes this assumption employing the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model by Shin, Yu and Greenwood-Nimmo (2014). The results show that trade balance responds stronger to negative shocks in real exchange rate than to positive ones in the long-run, while the short-run response of trade balance is symmetric.

Suggested Citation

  • Yaya KEHO, 2021. "Asymmetric Effects of Real Exchange Rate on Trade Balance in Cote d’Ivoire: Evidence from Nonlinear ARDL Approach," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 8(3), pages 9-21, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:rfa:aefjnl:v:8:y:2021:i:3:p:9-21
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://redfame.com/journal/index.php/aef/article/download/5216/5424
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: http://redfame.com/journal/index.php/aef/article/view/5216
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. repec:asi:ajoerj:2013:p:605-617 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    3. Elliott, Graham & Rothenberg, Thomas J & Stock, James H, 1996. "Efficient Tests for an Autoregressive Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(4), pages 813-836, July.
    4. Stephen P. Magee, 1973. "Currency Contracts, Pass-Through, and Devaluation," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 4(1), pages 303-325.
    5. Drama, Bedi Guy Herve, 2010. "The Effects of Real Exchange Rate on Trade Balance in Cote d’Ivoire: Evidence from the Cointegration Analysis and Error-Correction Models," MPRA Paper 21810, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Christelle Meniago & Joel Hinaunye Eita, 2017. "Does Exchange Rate Volatility Deter Trade in Sub-Saharan Africa?," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(4), pages 62-69.
    7. Jacob Musila & John Newark, 2003. "Does Currency Devaluation Improve the Trade Balance in the Long Run? Evidence from Malawi," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 15(2‐3), pages 339-352.
    8. Lal, Anil K. & Lowinger, Thomas C., 2002. "The J-Curve: Evidence from East Asia," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 17, pages 397-415.
    9. SOLOMON PRINCE Nathaniel, 2020. "Does Exchange Rate Have Asymmetric Impact On Trade Balance? Fresh Insights From Combined Cointegration," Studies in Business and Economics, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 15(1), pages 259-269, April.
    10. Aniekan Okon AKPANSUNG & Sikiru Jimoh BABALOLA, 2013. "Effects of Real Exchange Rate on Trade Balance: Empirical Evidence from Nigeria," Asian Journal of Empirical Research, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 3(5), pages 605-617.
    11. Philip O. Alege & Evans S. Osabuohien, 2015. "Trade-Exchange Rate Nexus in Sub-Saharan African Countries," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 50(3), pages 151-167, August.
    12. Christelle Meniago & Joel Hinaunye Eita, 2017. "The effects of exchange rate changes on Sub-Saharan Africa trade," International Journal of Sustainable Economy, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 9(3), pages 213-230.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Obumneke Bob Muoneke & Kingsley Ikechukwu Okere & Favour Chidinma Onuoha, 2023. "Extreme exchange rate dynamics and export trade in the selected oil-exporting countries in Africa. Multiple asymmetric threshold non-linear ARDL approach," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(6), pages 854-877, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yaya Keho, 2021. "Real Exchange Rate and Trade Balance Dynamics in Cote d Ivoire," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 11(1), pages 61-70.
    2. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Jalil, Abdul & Islam, Faridul, 2010. "Real Exchange Rate Changes and Trade Balance in Pakistan: A Revisit," MPRA Paper 27631, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Hanafiah Harvey, 2018. "Is There J-Curve Effect In The Commodity Trade Of Singapore With Malaysia? An Empirical Study," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 63(03), pages 567-591, June.
    4. Kwame Akosah, Nana & Omane-Adjepong, Maurice, 2017. "Exchange Rate and External Trade Flows: Empirical Evidence of J-Curve Effect in Ghana," MPRA Paper 86640, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Dec 2017.
    5. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee and Hanafiah Harvey, 2018. "The U.S. Trade Balance with Partners from Developing World: An Asymmetry Analysis of the J-Curve Effect," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 43(2), pages 29-44, June.
    6. Ivan D. Trofimov, 2023. "The J-Curve Effect in Services Trade: A Disaggregated Analysis," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 58(2), pages 199-219, May.
    7. Salah A. Nusair, 2017. "The J-Curve phenomenon in European transition economies: A nonlinear ARDL approach," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(1), pages 1-27, January.
    8. Yaya KEHO, 2021. "Real Exchange Rate Dynamics and Trade Balance in WAEMU Countries: Evidence from Panel Nonlinear ARDL Approach," Journal of Economics and Financial Analysis, Tripal Publishing House, vol. 5(2), pages 1-22.
    9. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Muhammad Aftab, 2019. "Malaysia-Japan Commodity Trade and Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rate Changes," Frontiers of Economics in China-Selected Publications from Chinese Universities, Higher Education Press, vol. 14(2), pages 220-263, June.
    10. Artatrana Ratha & Eungmin Kang, 2014. "Asian Financial Crisis And Korean Trade Dynamics," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 32(4), pages 862-877, October.
    11. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Hanafiah Harvey, 2012. "J-Curve: Singapore versus her Major Trading Partners," Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 31(4), pages 515-522, December.
    12. Yixiao Jiang & George K. Zestos & Zachary Timmerman, 2020. "A Vector Error Correction Model for Japanese Real Exports," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 48(3), pages 297-311, September.
    13. Homamul Islam, 2021. "Evaluating the Persistence of j Curve Phenomenon in the Bilateral Trade between Bangladesh and USA: The ARDL Bounds Testing Approach and Granger Causality Analysis," International Journal of Economics and Financial Research, Academic Research Publishing Group, vol. 7(2), pages 74-81, 06-2021.
    14. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Jungho Baek, 2019. "Asymmetry cointegration and the J-curve: new evidence from Korean bilateral trade balance models with her 14 partners," Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(1), pages 66-81, January.
    15. Hsing, Yu, 2009. "Test of the J-curve for the DR-CAFTA countries and policy implications," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 293-301, September.
    16. Ayşen SİVRİKAYA & Serdar ONGAN, 2019. "BREXIT and the J-Curve Hypothesis for the UK: A Nonlinear ARDL Approach," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society, issue 27(40).
    17. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Muhammad Aftab, 2017. "Malaysia–Korea Commodity Trade: Are there Asymmetric Responses to Exchange Rate Changes?," Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 36(2), pages 198-222, June.
    18. Bahmani-Oskooee Mohsen & Harvey Hanafiah, 2017. "The Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rate Changes on the Trade Balance of Singapore," Global Economy Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 17(4), pages 1-11, December.
    19. Trofimov, Ivan D., 2020. "Real Exchange Rate and the Dynamics of Services Trade Balance in the UK: A Linear and Non-linear ARDL Analysis," MPRA Paper 106703, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Muhammad Aftab, 2017. "Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rate Changes and the J-curve: New Evidence from 61 Malaysia–Thailand Industries," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(4), pages 30-46, November.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:rfa:aefjnl:v:8:y:2021:i:3:p:9-21. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Redfame publishing (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cepflch.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.