The Relationship between Exchange Rate and Key Macroeconomic Indicators. Case Study: Romania
AbstractThe purpose of this article is to examine the influence of the following key macroeconomic indicators: GDP, inflation rate, money supply, interest rate and balance of payments on exchange rate of the Romanian leu against the most important currencies (EUR, USD) during 2000-2010 period. The main findings of our study are: it is an inverse relationship between exchange rate EUR/RON, Gross Domestic Product, respectively money supply and a direct relationship between exchange rate EUR/RON, inflation and interest rate. We can not validate the correlation between exchange rate and Balance of payment, because the test statistic is not significant.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest in its journal Romanian Economic Journal.
Volume (Year): 14 (2011)
Issue (Month): 41 (September)
exchange rate; GDP; money supply; inflation; balance of payment; econometric analysis;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
- C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
- F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
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- Sinha, Pankaj & Kohli, Deepti, 2013. "Modeling exchange rate dynamics in India using stock market indices and macroeconomic variables," MPRA Paper 45816, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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