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Incidences économiques, politiques et redistributives des réformes des retraites en Europe. Une exploration avec le modèle INGENUE

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Abstract

[eng] The distributive allocative and policy effects of european public pensions reforms, an investigation with the ingenue model. . This paper presents various effects of three simulated reforms ofthe European pay-as-you-go system. These are investigated with INGENUE: a multi-region, general equilibrium, overlapping-generation model of the world economy. Reforms are presented around a baseline scenario where constant replacement ratio of public pension over net wage rate is assumed. Alternative reforms are: constant contribution rate, legal retirement age postponement and constant replacement ratio of public pension over gross wage rate. We then investigate the allocative, distributive and politic effects of these various policy. [fre] Cet article présente trois simulations de l'impact de réformes des systèmes de retraite en Europe. Ces simulations sont réalisées avec le modèle INGENUE, modèle d'équilibre général calculable à générations imbriquées de l'économie mondiale. Les réformes envisagées sont des variantes autour d'un compte central qui postule le maintien d'un taux constant de remplacement des pensions sur les salaires nets. Les trois réformes étudiées sont : le maintien d'un taux constant de cotisation sociale, le maintien d'un taux constant de remplacement des pensions sur le salaire brut, et l'allongement de la durée d'activité. Les impacts de ces réformes sont alors examinés sous les angles économique, politique et redistributif.

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  • Equipe INGENUE, 2002. "Incidences économiques, politiques et redistributives des réformes des retraites en Europe. Une exploration avec le modèle INGENUE," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 53(4), pages 787-808.
    • Handle: RePEc:prs:reveco:reco_0035-2764_2002_num_53_4_410444
    DOI: 10.3406/reco.2002.410444
    Note: DOI:10.3406/reco.2002.410444
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    Cited by:

    1. Jacques Le Cacheux & Vincent Touzé, 2003. "Vieillissement et richesse des nations," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 84(1), pages 47-91.
    2. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/2087 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Michel Aglietta & Vladimir Borgy & Jean Chateau & Michel Juillard & Jacques Le Cacheux & Gilles Le Garrec & Vincent Touzé, 2005. "Scenario for Global Aging - An Investigation with the INGENUE 2 World Model," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-01072181, HAL.
    4. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/4441 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Vincent TOUZE & Michel AGLIETTA & Jean CHATEAU & Gilles LE GARREC & Michel JUILLARD & Jacques LE CACHEUX, 2010. "INGENUE v.2: a World OLG-CGE Model with Imperfect Financial Markets, Exchange Rates and Stochastic Lifetime," EcoMod2004 330600142, EcoMod.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
    • H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions
    • D63 - Microeconomics - - Welfare Economics - - - Equity, Justice, Inequality, and Other Normative Criteria and Measurement

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