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En 1986, la population active a moins progressé que prévu

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  • Olivier Marchand

Abstract

[eng] In 1986, the labor force increased less than anticipated - With the passing of time, the evolutions of employment and unemployment during the year 1986 can be better evaluated. The labor force progressed less than expected as the economic situation can be held responsible for some of the withdrawals from or defering of entry into the labor market, notably for women. Nevertheless this resulted in an increase of unemployment as the number of jobs supplied did not increase. Indeed, the new jobs supplied are often very peculiar (fixed-term contracts, training programs for example) and they do not entirely compensate for the ones that have disappeared. However, unemployement has increased probably less than it was forecast last Spring. [spa] En 1986, la población activa aumentó menos de lo previsto - Con la distancia, el juicio que se puede emitir acerca de la evolución del empleo y de la desocupación tiene mayor peso. La población activa aumentó menos de lo que se habia previsto, aunque la coyuntura puede explicar un cierto número de salidas o de entradas postergadas en el mercado laboral, en lo que respecta, sobre todo, a las mujeres adultas. El crecimiento de la población activa se tradujo por una extension de la desocupación en la medida en que el numéro de empleos ofrecidos no se incrementó. Ciertamente, los empleos creados fueron en muchos casos de tipo particular (contratos de duración limitada y en especial periodos de prácticas de inserción profesional), no habiendo compensado completamente los empleos perdidos. El paro, sin embargo, habria aumentado de manera menos significativa de lo supuesto en primavera. [fre] Avec le recul, le jugement que l'on peut porter sur l'évolution de l'emploi et du chômage au cours de l'année 1986 est plus assuré. La population active a moins progressé qu'on ne le prévoyait, mais la conjoncture peut expliquer un certain nombre de retraits ou de reports d'entrées sur le marché du travail, notamment de la part des femmes adultes. Cette croissance de la population active s'est traduite par une extension du chômage, dans la mesure où le nombre d'emplois offerts n'a pas augmenté. En effet, les emplois créés, souvent de type particulier (contrats à durée limitée, stages d'insertion notamment), ne compensent pas tout à fait les disparitions. Le chômage aurait cependant augmenté moins sensiblement qu'on ne le supposait au printemps.

Suggested Citation

  • Olivier Marchand, 1987. "En 1986, la population active a moins progressé que prévu," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 205(1), pages 31-37.
  • Handle: RePEc:prs:ecstat:estat_0336-1454_1987_num_205_1_5150
    DOI: 10.3406/estat.1987.5150
    Note: DOI:10.3406/estat.1987.5150
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Guy Desplanques & Michel de Saboulin, 1986. "Activité féminine : carrières continues et discontinues," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 193(1), pages 51-62.
    2. Jean-Luc Heller, 1986. "Emplois précaires, stages : des emplois « faute de mieux »," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 193(1), pages 27-35.
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