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Problems with Using the Normal Distribution – and Ways to Improve Quality and Efficiency of Data Analysis

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  • Eckhard Limpert
  • Werner A Stahel

Abstract

Background: The Gaussian or normal distribution is the most established model to characterize quantitative variation of original data. Accordingly, data are summarized using the arithmetic mean and the standard deviation, by ± SD, or with the standard error of the mean, ± SEM. This, together with corresponding bars in graphical displays has become the standard to characterize variation. Methodology/Principal Findings: Here we question the adequacy of this characterization, and of the model. The published literature provides numerous examples for which such descriptions appear inappropriate because, based on the “95% range check”, their distributions are obviously skewed. In these cases, the symmetric characterization is a poor description and may trigger wrong conclusions. To solve the problem, it is enlightening to regard causes of variation. Multiplicative causes are by far more important than additive ones, in general, and benefit from a multiplicative (or log-) normal approach. Fortunately, quite similar to the normal, the log-normal distribution can now be handled easily and characterized at the level of the original data with the help of both, a new sign, x/, times-divide, and notation. Analogous to ± SD, it connects the multiplicative (or geometric) mean * and the multiplicative standard deviation s* in the form * x/s*, that is advantageous and recommended. Conclusions/Significance: The corresponding shift from the symmetric to the asymmetric view will substantially increase both, recognition of data distributions, and interpretation quality. It will allow for savings in sample size that can be considerable. Moreover, this is in line with ethical responsibility. Adequate models will improve concepts and theories, and provide deeper insight into science and life.

Suggested Citation

  • Eckhard Limpert & Werner A Stahel, 2011. "Problems with Using the Normal Distribution – and Ways to Improve Quality and Efficiency of Data Analysis," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 6(7), pages 1-8, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0021403
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0021403
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    1. Helen M. Rowe & Johan Jakobsson & Daniel Mesnard & Jacques Rougemont & Séverine Reynard & Tugce Aktas & Pierre V. Maillard & Hillary Layard-Liesching & Sonia Verp & Julien Marquis & François Spitz & D, 2010. "KAP1 controls endogenous retroviruses in embryonic stem cells," Nature, Nature, vol. 463(7278), pages 237-240, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Yuanrong & Aste, Tomaso, 2023. "Dynamic portfolio optimization with inverse covariance clustering," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 117701, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    2. Mikhail Semenov & Daulet Smagulov, 2017. "Portfolio Risk Assessment using Copula Models," Papers 1707.03516, arXiv.org.
    3. Yuanrong Wang & Tomaso Aste, 2021. "Dynamic Portfolio Optimization with Inverse Covariance Clustering," Papers 2112.15499, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.

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