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Structural Models of the Dollar

Author

Listed:
  • Charles Adams

    (International Monetary Fund)

  • Bankim Chadha

    (International Monetary Fund)

Abstract

Several questions are addressed about the time-series processes followed by dollar exchange rates. The stochastic process for exchange rates implied by structural models and the conditions under which they would be described by random walks are examined. Tests on the univariate time series for dollar exchange rates are undertaken to determine if there is evidence for departures from a random walk. Multivariate tests examine whether longer-run movements in the dollar are linked to those in other economic variables, and whether deviations from these long-run relationships contain information for predicting exchange rate movements.

Suggested Citation

  • Charles Adams & Bankim Chadha, 1991. "Structural Models of the Dollar," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 38(3), pages 525-559, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:imfstp:v:38:y:1991:i:3:p:525-559
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Dibooglu, Selahattin, 1993. "Multiple cointegration and structural models: applications to exchange rate determination," ISU General Staff Papers 1993010108000011419, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    2. Osler, C. L., 1995. "Exchange rate dynamics and speculator horizons," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 14(5), pages 695-719, October.
    3. Amano, Robert A. & van Norden, Simon, 1995. "Terms of trade and real exchange rates: the Canadian evidence," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 83-104, February.
    4. Amano, R. A. & van Norden, S., 1998. "Oil prices and the rise and fall of the US real exchange rate," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 299-316, April.
    5. Hali J. Edison & William R. Melick, 1992. "Purchasing power parity and uncovered interest rate parity: the United States 1974-1990," International Finance Discussion Papers 425, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    6. Kholdy, Shady & Sohrabian, Ahmad, 1995. "Testing for the relationship between nominal exchange rates and economic fundamentals," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 6(2), pages 121-134.
    7. Osler, C. L., 1998. "Short-term speculators and the puzzling behaviour of exchange rates," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(1), pages 37-57, June.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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