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Uniform Commercial Policy, Illegal Trade, and the Real Exchange Rate: A Theoretical Analysis

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  • O'Connell, Stephen A

Abstract

Countries on fixed exchange rates sometimes use uniform tariff cum subsidy (UTCS) schemes as a way of achieving a real depreciation without disturbing the nominal exchange rate. A potential drawback of this policy in relation to an across-the-board devaluation is that a UTCS scheme provides incentives for illegal trade. Using an optimizing model with currency convertibility and illegal trade, I find that welfare is lower under a UTCS scheme than under a corresponding across-the-board devaluation and that in some cases the real exchange rate actually appreciates in response to an increase in the UTCS rate. Copyright 1992 by Oxford University Press.

Suggested Citation

  • O'Connell, Stephen A, 1992. "Uniform Commercial Policy, Illegal Trade, and the Real Exchange Rate: A Theoretical Analysis," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 6(3), pages 459-479, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:wbecrv:v:6:y:1992:i:3:p:459-79
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    Cited by:

    1. Golub, Stephen S. & Mbaye, Ahmadou Aly, 2009. "National Trade Policies and Smuggling in Africa: The Case of The Gambia and Senegal," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 595-606, March.

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