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Assessing activist fiscal policy in advanced and emerging market economies using real-time data

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  • Tigran Poghosyan
  • Mehmet Serkan Tosun

Abstract

We examine activist fiscal policy in advanced and emerging economies using an innovative methodology. We contribute to the existing literature on fiscal policy cyclicality by conducting real-time data analysis for a broad set of countries that include 23 advanced and 30 emerging market economies. To the best of our knowledge this is the first study to extend the real-time data analysis to countries other than advanced economies. We also examine the impact of the global financial crisis. Our main findings show that discretionary fiscal policy in advanced economies is planned as countercyclical before the global financial crisis, but its implementation turned procyclical after the crisis. The emerging economies had weakly countercyclical discretionary fiscal policy plans, which enabled them to implement countercyclical fiscal policy after the global financial crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Tigran Poghosyan & Mehmet Serkan Tosun, 2019. "Assessing activist fiscal policy in advanced and emerging market economies using real-time data," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 71(1), pages 225-249.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:oxecpp:v:71:y:2019:i:1:p:225-249.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/oep/gpy031
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Jérôme Creel, 2021. "Establishing a Fiscal Dialogue in Europe," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 63(3), pages 339-355, September.
    2. Philipp Heimberger, 2022. "The Cyclical Behaviour of Fiscal Policy During the Covid-19 Crisis," wiiw Working Papers 220, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
    3. Katja Schmidt & Antoine Sigwalt, 2022. "Fiscal policy orientation in the euro area in real-time," Working papers 896, Banque de France.
    4. Pierre Aldama & Jérôme Creel, 2020. "Asymmetric macroeconomic stabilization and fiscal consolidation in the OECD and the Euro Area," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2020-09, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
    5. Heimberger, Philipp, 2023. "This time truly is different: The cyclical behaviour of fiscal policy during the Covid-19 crisis," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    6. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/5a3rl1um0d9rdbe3itnk6f8m89 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Aldama, Pierre & Creel, Jérôme, 2022. "Real-time fiscal policy responses in the OECD from 1997 to 2018: Procyclical but sustainable?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H30 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - General
    • H50 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - General
    • H62 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Deficit; Surplus

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