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Measuring exchange rate flexibility by regression methods

Author

Listed:
  • Michael Bleaney
  • Mo Tian

Abstract

A new and easily implemented regression method is proposed for generating an index of exchange rate flexibility, whilst simultaneously identifying anchors of pegged currencies. The method can distinguish floats from pegs, including those with occasional devaluations. An annual index is calculated that can be compared with other regime classification schemes or used directly in empirical research as a measure of exchange rate flexibility. Different categories in the International Monetary Fund’s de facto classification, and also in the Reinhart–Rogoff classification, are associated with significantly different average values of the index. Further analysis of managed floats shows that they have a strong tendency to track the US dollar.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael Bleaney & Mo Tian, 2017. "Measuring exchange rate flexibility by regression methods," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 69(1), pages 301-319.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:oxecpp:v:69:y:2017:i:1:p:301-319.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/oep/gpw029
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Terrones, Marco E., 2020. "Do fixers perform worse than non-fixers during global recessions and recoveries?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    2. Bleaney, Michael & Saxena, Sweta & Yin, Lin, 2018. "Exchange rate regimes, devaluations and growth collapses," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 15-25.
    3. Michael Bleaney & Mo Tian, 2020. "Exchange Rate Flexibility: How Should We Measure It?," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 31(4), pages 881-900, September.
    4. Kunkler, Michael, 2022. "Using the Special Drawing Right in the Frankel-Wei regression framework," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    5. Michael Bleaney & Mo Tian, 2021. "Reserve Volatility and the Identification of Exchange Rate Regimes," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 32(4), pages 701-723, September.
    6. Atsuyoshi Morozumi & Michael Bleaney & Zakari Mumuni, 2020. "Inflation targeting in low‐income countries: Does IT work?," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(4), pages 1529-1550, November.
    7. Marek A. Dąbrowski & Monika Papież & Sławomir Śmiech, 2020. "Classifying de facto exchange rate regimes of financially open and closed economies: A statistical approach," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(7), pages 821-849, October.
    8. Michael Bleaney & Manuela Francisco, 2018. "Is The Phillips Curve Different In Poor Countries?," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 70(1), pages 17-28, January.
    9. Michael Bleaney & Mo Tian, 2017. "Are Fixed Exchange Rates Still a Mirage?," Discussion Papers 2017/05, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
    10. Dąbrowski, Marek A., 2019. "A new approach to estimation of actively managed component of foreign exchange reserves," MPRA Paper 95280, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Dąbrowski, Marek A., 2021. "A novel approach to the estimation of an actively managed component of foreign exchange reserves," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 83-95.
    12. Michael Bleaney & Mo Tian, 2019. "Flexible exchange rates and current account adjustment," Discussion Papers 2019/02, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
    13. Michael F. Bleaney & Mo Tian & Lin Yin, 2017. "De Facto Exchange Rate Regime Classifications: An Evaluation," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 28(2), pages 369-382, April.
    14. Shiu‐Sheng Chen & Tzu‐Yu Lin, 2019. "Do Exchange Rate Shocks Have Asymmetric Effects on Reserve Accumulation? Evidence from Emerging Markets," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 121(4), pages 1561-1586, October.
    15. Michael Bleaney & Sweta Saxena & Lin Yin, 2016. "Exchange Rate Regimes and Growth Collapses," Discussion Papers 2016/02, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
    16. Mohamed Bouabidi, 2022. "The Tunisian exchange rate regime: Is it really floating?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4684-4704, October.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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