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Is there a term structure in land lease rates?

Author

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  • Silke Hüttel
  • Matthias Ritter
  • Viacheslav Esaulov
  • Martin Odening

Abstract

This article applies the concept of a term structure to agricultural land rental prices. Based on theoretical considerations, we develop a hedonic pricing model that allows for different shapes of the term structure curve while controlling for other price-relevant characteristics. We apply this model to land lease contracts in Saxony-Anhalt. We find an upward-sloping term structure during the agricultural price boom in 2007 and 2008, where market participants expected increasing rental prices. For the subsequent years, however, we detect a single-humped term structure. Hence, market participants revised their expectations and assumed a decline of land rental prices in the long term.

Suggested Citation

  • Silke Hüttel & Matthias Ritter & Viacheslav Esaulov & Martin Odening, 2016. "Is there a term structure in land lease rates?," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 43(1), pages 165-187.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:erevae:v:43:y:2016:i:1:p:165-187.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/erae/jbv010
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    Cited by:

    1. Buchholz, Matthias & Danne, Michael & Musshoff, Oliver, 2022. "An experimental analysis of German farmers’ decisions to buy or rent farmland," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    2. Cord-Friedrich von Hobe & Marius Michels & Oliver Musshoff, 2021. "German Farmers’ Perspectives on Price Drivers in Agricultural Land Rental Markets—A Combination of a Systematic Literature Review and Survey Results," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-22, February.
    3. Olena Myrna & Martin Odening & Matthias Ritter, 2019. "The Influence of Wind Energy and Biogas on Farmland Prices," Land, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-14, January.
    4. Marten Graubner, 2018. "Lost in space? The effect of direct payments on land rental prices," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 45(2), pages 143-171.
    5. Kualwik, Jacek, 2016. "Selected problems of farmland valuation and setting rents for its lease," Problems of Agricultural Economics / Zagadnienia Ekonomiki Rolnej 252639, Institute of Agricultural and Food Economics - National Research Institute (IAFE-NRI).
    6. Johanna Choumert & Pascale Phelinas, 2015. "Farmland Rental Values in GM Soybean Areas of Argentina: Do Contractual Arrangements Matter?," CERDI Working papers halshs-01237771, HAL.
    7. Plogmann, Jana & Mußhoff, Oliver & Odening, Martin & Ritter, Matthias, 2020. "What Moves the German Land Market? A Decomposition of the Land Rent-Price Ratio," German Journal of Agricultural Economics, Humboldt-Universitaet zu Berlin, Department for Agricultural Economics, vol. 69(1).
    8. Grau, Aaron & Jasic, Svetlana & Ritter, Matthias & Odening, Martin, 2019. "The impact of production intensity on agricultural land prices," FORLand Working Papers 09 (2019), Humboldt University Berlin, DFG Research Unit 2569 FORLand "Agricultural Land Markets – Efficiency and Regulation".
    9. Kvartiuk, Vasyl & Herzfeld, Thomas & Bukin, Eduard, 2022. "Decentralized public farmland conveyance: Rental rights auctioning in Ukraine," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    10. Olena Myrna, 2022. "Lower price increases, the bounded rationality of bidders, and underbidding concerns in online agricultural land auctions: The Ukrainian case," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 73(3), pages 826-844, September.
    11. Myrna, Olena, 2023. "Competition in online land lease auctions in Ukraine: Reduced-form estimation," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    12. Laura Onofri & Samuele Trestini & Fateh Mamine & Jason Loughrey, 2023. "Understanding agricultural land leasing in Ireland: a transaction cost approach," Agricultural and Food Economics, Springer;Italian Society of Agricultural Economics (SIDEA), vol. 11(1), pages 1-20, December.
    13. Kuethe, Todd H. & Bigelow, Daniel P., 2018. "Bargaining Power in Farmland Rental Markets," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 274113, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

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