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Bayes and empirical Bayes: do they merge?

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  • S. Petrone
  • J. Rousseau
  • C. Scricciolo

Abstract

Bayesian inference is attractive due to its internal coherence and for often having good frequentist properties. However, eliciting an honest prior may be difficult, and common practice is to take an empirical Bayes approach using an estimate of the prior hyperparameters. Although not rigorous, the underlying idea is that, for a sufficiently large sample size, empirical Bayes methods should lead to similar inferential answers as a proper Bayesian inference. However, precise mathematical results on this asymptotic agreement seem to be missing. In this paper, we give results in terms of merging Bayesian and empirical Bayes posterior distributions. We study two notions of merging: Bayesian weak merging and frequentist merging in total variation. We also show that, under regularity conditions, the empirical Bayes approach asymptotically gives an oracle selection of the prior hyperparameters. Examples include empirical Bayes density estimation with Dirichlet process mixtures.

Suggested Citation

  • S. Petrone & J. Rousseau & C. Scricciolo, 2014. "Bayes and empirical Bayes: do they merge?," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 101(2), pages 285-302.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:biomet:v:101:y:2014:i:2:p:285-302.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/biomet/ast067
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    Cited by:

    1. Cabras, Stefano & Fidrmuc, Jan & de Dios Tena Horrillo, Juan, 2017. "Minimum wage and employment: Escaping the parametric straitjacket," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 11, pages 1-20.
    2. Stefano Cabras & Juan de Dios Tena Horrillo, 2016. "A Bayesian non-parametric modeling to estimate student response to ICT investment," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(14), pages 2627-2642, October.
    3. Latouche, Pierre & Mattei, Pierre-Alexandre & Bouveyron, Charles & Chiquet, Julien, 2016. "Combining a relaxed EM algorithm with Occam’s razor for Bayesian variable selection in high-dimensional regression," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 177-190.
    4. repec:dau:papers:123456789/13437 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Frazier, David T. & Maneesoonthorn, Worapree & Martin, Gael M. & McCabe, Brendan P.M., 2019. "Approximate Bayesian forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 521-539.
    6. Cheung, Ka Chun & Yam, Sheung Chi Phillip & Zhang, Yiying, 2022. "Satisficing credibility for heterogeneous risks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 298(2), pages 752-768.
    7. Julyan Arbel & Riccardo Corradin & Bernardo Nipoti, 2021. "Dirichlet process mixtures under affine transformations of the data," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 36(1), pages 577-601, March.

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