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Fluctuation In Pension Fund Assets Privately Managed Under The Influence Of Certain Factors. Statistical Study In Romania

Author

Listed:
  • Cristea Mirela

    (University of Craiova, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration)

  • Siminica Marian

    (University of Craiova, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration)

  • Dracea Raluca

    (University of Craiova, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration)

Abstract

On international level, the economic and financial crisis has determined a diminution of the asset value of compulsory pension funds, reflecting a reallocation of funds towards alternative or low-risk investments. The present paper indicates how the net asset value of privately managed pension funds in Romania may be affected or not by certain influence factors in direct correlation with different asset allocation strategies of pension funds. In this way, on literature review there are many studies which have analyzed the fluctuation of pension funds assets and a better reallocation of their investment in order to improve their efficiency. The experience of the value fluctuation of privately administered pension fund net assets is highly important, firstly beacause of its effects on the increase and the decrease of invested values for the insured personsâ€(tm) accounts, under the circumstances of constantly maintaining their contributions and, implicitly, the results achieved through these investments. The research methodology consists in testing of five variables: currency exchange rate, credit interest rate, bank deposit interest rate, reference interest rate and value of the stock exchange market index (BET-C index), by means of the multiple linear regression method. The conclusion is that only two of these factors, namely, the currency exchange rate and the reference interest rate, influence net asset value of privately managed pension funds, the second pillar, one in direct and the other in indirect correlation. In order to neutralize the effects generated by the diminution of the net asset value of privately managed pension funds, considering a short time horizon, we shall elaborate a dynamic mix of their investments able to adapt to the fluctuations of the influence factors. Thus, new opportunities will be generated in order to achieve the efficiency of pension funds and to prevent the diminution of the value of insured individualsâ€(tm) contributions to these pension funds.

Suggested Citation

  • Cristea Mirela & Siminica Marian & Dracea Raluca, 2011. "Fluctuation In Pension Fund Assets Privately Managed Under The Influence Of Certain Factors. Statistical Study In Romania," Annals of Faculty of Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, vol. 1(1), pages 476-486, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:ora:journl:v:1:y:2011:i:1:p:476-486
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    File URL: http://anale.steconomiceuoradea.ro/volume/2011/n1/043.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Waldo Tapia, 2008. "Description of Private Pension Systems," OECD Working Papers on Insurance and Private Pensions 22, OECD Publishing.
    2. Fiona Stewart, 2007. "Benefit Security Pension Fund Guarantee Schemes," OECD Working Papers on Insurance and Private Pensions 5, OECD Publishing.
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    Cited by:

    1. Nicea Mergeani & Andreea-Gabriela D?nciulescu, 2016. "Youth Unemployment – The Main Statistics In Romania Compared With The European Union Ones," Annals of University of Craiova - Economic Sciences Series, University of Craiova, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 1(44), pages 298-309.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    privately managed pensions; net assets; investments; factors of influence; statistical correlations;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General

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