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Stress Tests for the Austrian FSAP Update 2007: Methodology, Scenarios and Results

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This paper presents the methodology, scenarios and results of the stress tests conducted for the update of Austria’s Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP) in 2007. The focus of the paper lies in particular on the following two macroeconomic stress scenarios: (a) a regional shock in Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe hitting Austrian banks through their large exposure in the region, and (b) a global downturn in economic activity causing a deterioration of Austrian banks’ domestic loan portfolios, whereby in the second scenario, contagion risk within the Austrian interbank market was also taken into account. Stress test calculations were performed by the OeNB for all Austrian banks (top-down approach) as well as by the six largest Austrian banking groups for their respective exposure (bottom-up approach). The paper describes the methodologies for scenario construction and the stress tests themselves and then discusses the scenarios as well as the stress test results in detail, including a comparison of the two approaches. Finally, the paper presents the results of additional sensitivity stress tests for credit risk emanating from foreign currency lending, for the most important categories of market risk and for liquidity risk. Overall, the update of Austria’s FSAP 2007 confirmed the results of previous stress testing exercises, in particular for the large Austrian banking groups that show considerable shock resistance mainly as a result of their generally sound capital buffers and high profitability.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael Boss & Gerhard Fenz & Gerald Krenn & Johannes Pann & Claus Puhr & Thomas Scheiber & Stefan W. Schmitz & Martin Schneider & Eva Ubl, 2008. "Stress Tests for the Austrian FSAP Update 2007: Methodology, Scenarios and Results," Financial Stability Report, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 15, pages 68-92.
    • Handle: RePEc:onb:oenbfs:y:2008:i:15:b:1
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    Cited by:

    1. Borio, Claudio & Drehmann, Mathias & Tsatsaronis, Kostas, 2014. "Stress-testing macro stress testing: Does it live up to expectations?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 12(C), pages 3-15.
    2. Pavla Klepková Vodová, 2015. "Banks Belonging to the Erste Group and their Sensitivity to the Confidence Crisis on the Interbank Market," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 63(6), pages 1953-1960.
    3. Pavla Klepkova Vodova, 2015. "Sensitivity of Czech Commercial Banks to Run on Banks," DANUBE: Law and Economics Review, European Association Comenius - EACO, issue 2, pages 91-107, June.
    4. Pavla Klepková Vodová & Daniel Stavárek, 2015. "Factors Affecting Sensitivity of Czech and Slovak Commercial Banks to Bank Run," Working Papers 0020, Silesian University, School of Business Administration.
    5. Pavla Vodová, 2014. "Liquidity Risk Sensitivity of Czech Commercial Banks," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 62(2), pages 427-436.
    6. Waelchli Boris, 2016. "A proximity based macro stress testing framework," Dependence Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 4(1), pages 1-26, November.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial stability; stress testing; FSAP;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • F23 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Multinational Firms; International Business

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