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Frequency based co-movement of inflation in selected euro area countries

Author

Listed:
  • Aviral Kumar Tiwari
  • Niyati Bhanja
  • Arif Billah Dar

Abstract

This paper investigates the extent to which inflation rates in selected euro area countries are synchronised. The synchronisation of inflation is analysed using the multiple-correlation and multiple cross correlation at different frequencies using the methodology of wavelets. This new measure of cohesion based on wavelets allows us to assess how synchronisation has fevolved across different frequencies. Our results indicate that inflation correlations are more apparent at lower frequencies and the co-movement grows with lower frequencies. When we allow the correlation to be analysed across different frequencies as well as over time, our results indicate that the correlation has increased after the formation of euro area probably because of the common monetary policy. Keywords: Co-movement, wavelets, time-frequency, inflation cycles JEL classification: C40, E31, E32, F44

Suggested Citation

  • Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Niyati Bhanja & Arif Billah Dar, 2016. "Frequency based co-movement of inflation in selected euro area countries," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2015(2), pages 1-13.
    • Handle: RePEc:oec:stdkab:5jm26ttlxdd1
    DOI: 10.1787/jbcma-2015-5jm26ttlxdd1
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Muhammad Shahbaz & Haslifah M. Hasim & Mohamed M. Elheddad, 2019. "Analysing the spillover of inflation in selected Euro-area countries," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 17(3), pages 551-577, September.
    2. Khandokar Istiak & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Humaira Husain & Kazi Sohag, 2021. "The Spillover of Inflation among the G7 Countries," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-20, August.
    3. Niyati Bhanja & Arif Billah Dar & Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2018. "Do Global Crude Oil Markets Behave as One Great Pool? A Cyclical Analysis," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 14(2), pages 219-241, November.
    4. Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2021. "Inflation synchronization among the G7and China: The important role of oil inflation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    co-movement; wavelets; time-frequency; inflation cycles jel classification: c40; e31; e32; f44;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C40 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - General
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • F44 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Business Cycles

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