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The Income Elasticity of Gross Casino Revenues: Short–Run and Long–Run Estimates

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  • Nichols, Mark W.
  • Tosun, Mehmet Serkan

Abstract

We examine how gross casino gambling revenues differ from other major tax bases in growth and variability. Long–run and short–run income elasticities are estimated using state–level gross casino revenue and state, regional and national income. We run separate time–series regressions for each of 11 states with significant commercial gambling. Gross casino revenue generally grows faster than taxable sales, but slower than taxable income. Gross casino revenue growth also slows as the industry matures. Short–run elasticity is, on average, lower than estimates for sales and income taxes, with an equal or more rapid adjustment to long–run equilibrium.

Suggested Citation

  • Nichols, Mark W. & Tosun, Mehmet Serkan, 2008. "The Income Elasticity of Gross Casino Revenues: Short–Run and Long–Run Estimates," National Tax Journal, National Tax Association;National Tax Journal, vol. 61(4), pages 635-652, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:ntj:journl:v:61:y:2008:i:4:p:635-52
    DOI: 10.17310/ntj.2008.4.04
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    File URL: https://doi.org/10.17310/ntj.2008.4.04
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    Cited by:

    1. Kathryn L. Combs & Jaebeom Kim & Jim Landers & John A. Spry, 2016. "The Responsiveness of Casino Revenue to the Casino Tax Rate," Public Budgeting & Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(3), pages 22-44, September.
    2. Manjón Álvarez, Adrián M., 2018. "Elasticidades tributarias dinámicas: evidencias a corto plazo y largo plazo en Bolivia (1990-2018)," Revista Latinoamericana de Desarrollo Economico, Carrera de Economía de la Universidad Católica Boliviana (UCB) "San Pablo", issue 31, pages 100-134, May.
    3. Koester, Gerrit B. & Priesmeier, Christoph, 2012. "Estimating dynamic tax revenue elasticities for Germany," Discussion Papers 23/2012, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    4. Fricke, Hans & Süssmuth, Bernd, 2014. "Growth and Volatility of Tax Revenues in Latin America," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 114-138.
    5. Ege Can & Mark W. Nichols, 2022. "The Income Elasticity of Gross Sports Betting Revenues in Nevada: Short-Run and Long-Run Estimates," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 23(2), pages 175-199, February.
    6. William F. Fox, 2010. "Can state and local governments rely on alternative tax sources?," Regional Economic Development, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Oct, pages 88-101.
    7. Thomas A. Garrett & Mark W. Nichols, 2019. "The Behavior Of Casino Gaming Revenue Over The Business Cycle Considering Alternative Measures Of “Income”," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 37(2), pages 274-296, April.
    8. Joshua C. Hall & Antonios M. Koumpias, 2018. "Growth And Variability Of School District Income Tax Revenues: Is Tax Base Diversification A Good Idea For School Financing?," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 36(4), pages 678-691, October.
    9. di Bella, Enrico & Gandullia, Luca & Leporatti, Lucia, 2014. "Short and long run income elasticity of gambling tax bases: evidence from Italy," MPRA Paper 73757, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Reed, W. Robert & Rogers, Cynthia L & Skidmore, Mark, 2011. "On Estimating Marginal Tax Rates for U.S. States," National Tax Journal, National Tax Association;National Tax Journal, vol. 64(1), pages 59-84, March.

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