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Protein Deficit in France – A Prospective Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Alexandre Gohin
  • Alice Issanchou

Abstract

[eng] France's deficit in protein‑rich products dates back nearly 50 years. Many protein plans aimed at boosting the supply of legumes have succeeded one another without managing to solve the issue. Does it mean that French agriculture is economically tied to grain production using imports of synthetic fertilisers and to off‑farm livestock production using soya imports? The novelty of our quantitative analysis is to take into account the role of French consumers' potential demand for products that are free from genetically modified organisms (GMOs). Our prospective simulations show that, while this demand is a far more powerful driver for reducing imports of GMO soya cake than traditional subsidies for legumes, it is unlikely to lead to a significant improvement in protein self‑sufficiency, as net imports of other protein‑rich products are increasing. In contrast, substantial progress could be made by improving the productivity of forage land.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexandre Gohin & Alice Issanchou, 2022. "Protein Deficit in France – A Prospective Analysis," Economie et Statistique / Economics and Statistics, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques (INSEE), issue 536-37, pages 115-131.
  • Handle: RePEc:nse:ecosta:ecostat_2022_536_7
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.24187/ecostat.2022.536.2083
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • Q11 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis; Prices
    • Q16 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - R&D; Agricultural Technology; Biofuels; Agricultural Extension Services
    • Q18 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Policy; Food Policy; Animal Welfare Policy

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