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The Rank Effect in Multimember District Elections

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  • B. K. Song

Abstract

In this paper, I estimate the effects of first rank using a regression discontinuity design in the context of three multimember district (MMD) elections, in Korea, Spain, and Japan. By analyzing MMD elections, I can estimate the effects of first rank separately from those of incumbency because there are multiple winners with different ranks. The results indicate that there is no first-rank effect on the outcomes of subsequent elections in any of the three cases. However, I do find evidence that achieving first rank increases candidates' probabilities of running for and winning higher office. In addition, I show that the first-rank effect on political advancement is likely to be driven by political parties, not by voters.

Suggested Citation

  • B. K. Song, 2022. "The Rank Effect in Multimember District Elections," Quarterly Journal of Political Science, now publishers, vol. 17(4), pages 547-575, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:now:jlqjps:100.00021045
    DOI: 10.1561/100.00021045
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