IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nea/journl/y2022i55p45-60.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Industry effects of monetary policy in Russia: Econometric analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Dobronravova, E.

    (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), Moscow, Russia
    Institute of Applied Economic Research; Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia)

Abstract

This paper presents the econometric analysis of the heterogenous effects of monetary policy on industrial output and producer prices in manufacturing sector in Russia. The estimation of the differences in the impulce responses to the interest rate shock is conducted using structural VAR-models, the analysis of key industrial characteristics, explaining differences through monetary transmission channes, is based on principal components and correlations. Our fi ndings reveal the strongest response to monetary policy in such industries as manufacture of rubber and plastic products, manufacture of non-metallic mineral products, manufacture of pulp and paper, manufacture of machinery nd equipment, manufacture of electrical, electronic and optical equipment and manufacture of motor vehicles and equipment. Besides, in these industries the response is usually deffered to 2-3 months after the shock. Our fi ndings also show that the impact of monetary shocks on output is particulary strong in industries producing capital goods and supplies for construction but particularly weak in industries with high concentration and high profi ts. That means that differences in industrial responses to monetary policy can be described by two key channels of monetary transmission - interest rate channel (due to high demand sensitivity to interest rate changes) and bank lending channel (due to important role of bank loans in fi rms' fi nancing).

Suggested Citation

  • Dobronravova, E., 2022. "Industry effects of monetary policy in Russia: Econometric analysis," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 55(3), pages 45-60.
    • Handle: RePEc:nea:journl:y:2022:i:55:p:45-60
    DOI: 10.31737/2221-2264-2022-55-3-3
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.econorus.org/repec/journl/2022-55-45-60r.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.31737/2221-2264-2022-55-3-3?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Carlos J. Rodr�guez-Fuentes & David Padr�n-Marrero, 2008. "Industry Effects of Monetary Policy in Spain," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(3), pages 375-384, April.
    2. Emi Nakamura & Jón Steinsson, 2010. "Monetary Non-neutrality in a Multisector Menu Cost Model," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 125(3), pages 961-1013.
    3. Mark Gertler & Simon Gilchrist, 1994. "Monetary Policy, Business Cycles, and the Behavior of Small Manufacturing Firms," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 109(2), pages 309-340.
    4. Georgiadis, Georgios, 2015. "Examining asymmetries in the transmission of monetary policy in the euro area: Evidence from a mixed cross-section global VAR model," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 195-215.
    5. A. A. Pestova., 2018. "On the effects of monetary policy in Russia: The role of the space of spanned shocks and the policy regime shifts," VOPROSY ECONOMIKI, N.P. Redaktsiya zhurnala "Voprosy Economiki", vol. 2.
    6. Christiano, Lawrence J. & Eichenbaum, Martin & Evans, Charles L., 1997. "Sticky price and limited participation models of money: A comparison," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 41(6), pages 1201-1249, June.
    7. Hafedh Bouakez & Emanuela Cardia & Francisco J. Ruge-Murcia, 2009. "The Transmission Of Monetary Policy In A Multisector Economy," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 50(4), pages 1243-1266, November.
    8. Dedola, Luca & Lippi, Francesco, 2005. "The monetary transmission mechanism: Evidence from the industries of five OECD countries," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 49(6), pages 1543-1569, August.
    9. Mansor H. Ibrahim, 2005. "Sectoral Effects of Monetary Policy: Evidence from Malaysia," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 19(1), pages 83-102, March.
    10. Ciccarelli, Matteo & Maddaloni, Angela & Peydró, José-Luis, 2015. "Trusting the bankers: A new look at the credit channel of monetary policy," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 18(4), pages 979-1002.
    11. Gert Peersman & Frank Smets, 2005. "The Industry Effects of Monetary Policy in the Euro Area," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 115(503), pages 319-342, April.
    12. Georgopoulos, George & Hejazi, Walid, 2009. "Financial structure and the heterogeneous impact of monetary policy across industries," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 61(1), pages 1-33.
    13. Joe Ganley & Chris Salmon, 1997. "The Industrial Impact of Monetary Policy Shocks: Some Stylised Facts," Bank of England working papers 68, Bank of England.
    14. Carvalho Carlos, 2006. "Heterogeneity in Price Stickiness and the Real Effects of Monetary Shocks," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 6(3), pages 1-58, December.
    15. Saibal Ghosh, 2009. "Industry Effects of Monetary Policy: Evidence from India," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, vol. 44(1), pages 89-105, July.
    16. Y. Ponomarev & P. Trunin & A. Ulyukayev., 2014. "Exchange Rate Pass-through in Russia," VOPROSY ECONOMIKI, N.P. Redaktsiya zhurnala "Voprosy Economiki", vol. 3.
    17. Y. Ponomarev & P. Trunin & A. Ulyukayev, 2014. "Exchange Rate Pass-through in Russia," Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP Voprosy Ekonomiki, issue 3.
    18. I. Arnold & C.J.M. Kool & K. Raabe, 2005. "New evidence on the firm size effects in US monetary policy transmission," Working Papers 05-11, Utrecht School of Economics.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Eiji Goto, 2020. "Industry Impacts of Unconventional Monetary Policy," 2020 Papers pgo873, Job Market Papers.
    2. Dedola, Luca & Lippi, Francesco, 2005. "The monetary transmission mechanism: Evidence from the industries of five OECD countries," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 49(6), pages 1543-1569, August.
    3. Bouakez, Hafedh & Cardia, Emanuela & Ruge-Murcia, Francisco, 2014. "Sectoral price rigidity and aggregate dynamics," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 1-22.
    4. Povoledo, Laura, 2018. "Pricing behavior and the role of trade openness in the transmission of monetary shocks," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 231-247.
    5. Roy, Ripon & Bashar, Omar H.N.M. & Bhattacharya, Prasad Sankar, 2023. "The cross-industry effects of monetary policy: New evidence from Bangladesh," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    6. Muhammad Jamil & Muhammad Irfan, 2016. "Monetary Policy, Business Cycles and Sectoral Response in Pakistan," Acta Universitatis Danubius. OEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 12(4), pages 171-190, October.
    7. Dennis W. Jansen & Ruby P. Kishan & Diego E. Vacaflores, 2013. "Sectoral Effects of Monetary Policy: The Evidence from Publicly Traded Firms," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 79(4), pages 946-970, April.
    8. Massimo Caruso, 2006. "Monetary Policy Impulses, Local Output and the Transmission Mechanism," Giornale degli Economisti, GDE (Giornale degli Economisti e Annali di Economia), Bocconi University, vol. 65(1), pages 1-30, May.
    9. Mandel, Antoine & Veetil, Vipin P., 2021. "Monetary dynamics in a network economy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    10. Goto, Eiji, 2023. "Industry effects of unconventional monetary policy, within and across countries," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    11. Dennis W. Jansen & Ruby P. Kishan & Diego E. Vacaflores, 2013. "Sectoral Effects of Monetary Policy: The Evidence from Publicly Traded Firms," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 79(4), pages 946-970, April.
    12. Dennis W. Jansen & Ruby P. Kishan & Diego E. Vacaflores, 2013. "Sectoral Effects of Monetary Policy: The Evidence from Publicly Traded Firms," Southern Economic Journal, Southern Economic Association, vol. 79(4), pages 946-970, April.
    13. Massimo Caruso, 2004. "Monetary Policy Impulses, Local Output and the Transmission Mechanism," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 537, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    14. Masahiko Shibamoto & Minoru Tachibana, 2014. "Individual Stock Returns and Monetary Policy: Evidence from Japanese Data," The Japanese Economic Review, Japanese Economic Association, vol. 65(3), pages 375-396, September.
    15. I. Arnold & C.J.M. Kool & K. Raabe, 2005. "New evidence on the firm size effects in US monetary policy transmission," Working Papers 05-11, Utrecht School of Economics.
    16. Goto, Eiji & Bürgi, Constantin, 2021. "Sectoral Okun's law and cross-country cyclical differences," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 91-103.
    17. Kilinc, Mustafa & Tunc, Cengiz, 2019. "The asymmetric effects of monetary policy on economic activity in Turkey," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 505-528.
    18. Paul Mizen & Cihan Yalcin, 2006. "Monetary Policy, Corporate Financial Composition and Real Activity," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo, vol. 52(1), pages 177-213, March.
    19. Jubinski, Daniel & Tomljanovich, Marc, 2013. "Do FOMC minutes matter to markets? An intraday analysis of FOMC minutes releases on individual equity volatility and returns," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 86-97.
    20. Ivo J. M. Arnold & Evert B. Vrugt, 2004. "Firm Size, Industry Mix and the Regional Transmission of Monetary Policy in Germany," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 5(1), pages 35-59, February.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    monetary policy; monetary transmission; industry effects; manufacturing industries;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • L60 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Manufacturing - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nea:journl:y:2022:i:55:p:45-60. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Alexey Tcharykov (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/nearuea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.