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The multi-millennial Antarctic commitment to future sea-level rise

Author

Listed:
  • N. R. Golledge

    (Antarctic Research Centre, Victoria University of Wellington
    GNS Science)

  • D. E. Kowalewski

    (Environment, and Physics, Worcester State University)

  • T. R. Naish

    (Antarctic Research Centre, Victoria University of Wellington
    GNS Science)

  • R. H. Levy

    (GNS Science)

  • C. J. Fogwill

    (Climate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales)

  • E. G. W. Gasson

    (Climate System Research Center, University of Massachusetts Amherst)

Abstract

Despite computational and methodological uncertainties, and a wide range of potential greenhouse gas emissions, here millennial-scale simulations of the Antarctic Ice Sheet in a warming climate show that most of Antarctica’s fringing ice shelves will collapse, leading to a rise in sea level of up to 3 metres by 2300.

Suggested Citation

  • N. R. Golledge & D. E. Kowalewski & T. R. Naish & R. H. Levy & C. J. Fogwill & E. G. W. Gasson, 2015. "The multi-millennial Antarctic commitment to future sea-level rise," Nature, Nature, vol. 526(7573), pages 421-425, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:nature:v:526:y:2015:i:7573:d:10.1038_nature15706
    DOI: 10.1038/nature15706
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    Cited by:

    1. James R. Jordan & B. W. J. Miles & G. H. Gudmundsson & S. S. R. Jamieson & A. Jenkins & C. R. Stokes, 2023. "Increased warm water intrusions could cause mass loss in East Antarctica during the next 200 years," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.
    2. Qureshi, M Fahed & Khandelwal, Himanshu & Usadi, Adam & Barckholtz, Timothy A. & Mhadeshwar, Ashish B. & Linga, Praveen, 2022. "CO2 hydrate stability in oceanic sediments under brine conditions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).
    3. Richard Taylor & Ruth Butterfield & Tiago Capela Lourenço & Adis Dzebo & Henrik Carlsen & Richard J. T. Klein, 2020. "Surveying perceptions and practices of high-end climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 161(1), pages 65-87, July.
    4. David K. Hutchinson & Laurie Menviel & Katrin J. Meissner & Andrew McC. Hogg, 2024. "East Antarctic warming forced by ice loss during the Last Interglacial," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-11, December.
    5. Muhammad Syahiran Abdul Malik & Ashrul Ishak Mohamad Shaiful & Mohd Shuisma Mohd. Ismail & Mohammad Nazri Mohd Jaafar & Amirah Mohamad Sahar, 2017. "Combustion and Emission Characteristics of Coconut-Based Biodiesel in a Liquid Fuel Burner," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-12, April.
    6. Miriam Dunn & Mark D. Rounsevell & Henrik Carlsen & Adis Dzebo & Tiago Capela Lourenço & Joseph Hagg, 2017. "To what extent are land resource managers preparing for high-end climate change in Scotland?," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 141(2), pages 181-195, March.
    7. Michael E. Weber & Nicholas R. Golledge & Chris J. Fogwill & Chris S. M. Turney & Zoë A. Thomas, 2021. "Decadal-scale onset and termination of Antarctic ice-mass loss during the last deglaciation," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-13, December.
    8. Ritchie, Justin & Dowlatabadi, Hadi, 2017. "Why do climate change scenarios return to coal?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 140(P1), pages 1276-1291.

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