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Quantifying the human impact of Melbourne’s 111-day hard lockdown experiment on the adult population

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Listed:
  • Stefanie Schurer

    (University of Sydney
    IZA Institute of Labor Economics
    Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence, Families and Children over the Lifecourse)

  • Kadir Atalay

    (University of Sydney
    Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence, Families and Children over the Lifecourse)

  • Nick Glozier

    (Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence, Families and Children over the Lifecourse
    Sydney School of Medicine (Central Clinical School), Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of Sydney)

  • Esperanza Vera-Toscano

    (Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, University of Melbourne)

  • Mark Wooden

    (IZA Institute of Labor Economics
    Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, University of Melbourne)

Abstract

Lockdown was used worldwide to mitigate the spread of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 and was the cornerstone non-pharmaceutical intervention of zero-COVID strategies. Many previous impact evaluations of lockdowns are unreliable because lockdowns co-occurred with severe coronavirus disease related health and financial insecurities. This was not the case in Melbourne’s 111-day lockdown, which left other Australian jurisdictions unaffected. Interrogating nationally representative longitudinal survey data and quasi-experimental variation, and controlling for multiple hypothesis testing, we found that lockdown had some statistically significant, albeit small, impacts on several domains of human life. Women had lower mental health (−0.10 s.d., P = 0.043, 95% confidence interval (CI) = −0.21 to −0) and working hours (−0.13 s.d., P = 0.006, 95% CI = −0.22 to −0.04) but exercised more often (0.28 s.d., P

Suggested Citation

  • Stefanie Schurer & Kadir Atalay & Nick Glozier & Esperanza Vera-Toscano & Mark Wooden, 2023. "Quantifying the human impact of Melbourne’s 111-day hard lockdown experiment on the adult population," Nature Human Behaviour, Nature, vol. 7(10), pages 1652-1666, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:nathum:v:7:y:2023:i:10:d:10.1038_s41562-023-01638-1
    DOI: 10.1038/s41562-023-01638-1
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