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The computational cost of active information sampling before decision-making under uncertainty

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Listed:
  • Pierre Petitet

    (University of Oxford)

  • Bahaaeddin Attaallah

    (University of Oxford)

  • Sanjay G. Manohar

    (University of Oxford
    University of Oxford)

  • Masud Husain

    (University of Oxford
    University of Oxford)

Abstract

Humans often seek information to minimize the pervasive effect of uncertainty on decisions. Current theories explain how much knowledge people should gather before a decision, based on the cost–benefit structure of the problem at hand. Here, we demonstrate that this framework omits a crucial agent-related factor: the cognitive effort expended while collecting information. Using an active sampling model, we unveil a speed–efficiency trade-off whereby more informative samples take longer to find. Crucially, under sufficient time pressure, humans can break this trade-off, sampling both faster and more efficiently. Computational modelling demonstrates the existence of a cost of cognitive effort which, when incorporated into theoretical models, provides a better account of people’s behaviour and also relates to self-reported fatigue accumulated during active sampling. Thus, the way people seek knowledge to guide their decisions is shaped not only by task-related costs and benefits, but also crucially by the quantifiable computational costs incurred.

Suggested Citation

  • Pierre Petitet & Bahaaeddin Attaallah & Sanjay G. Manohar & Masud Husain, 2021. "The computational cost of active information sampling before decision-making under uncertainty," Nature Human Behaviour, Nature, vol. 5(7), pages 935-946, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:nathum:v:5:y:2021:i:7:d:10.1038_s41562-021-01116-6
    DOI: 10.1038/s41562-021-01116-6
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    Cited by:

    1. Noeldeke, Beatrice & Winter, Etti & Ntawuhiganayo, Elisée Bahati, 2022. "Representing human decision-making in agent-based simulation models: Agroforestry adoption in rural Rwanda," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).

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