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Overestimated global warming over the past 20 years

Author

Listed:
  • John C. Fyfe

    (Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Environment Canada)

  • Nathan P. Gillett

    (Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Environment Canada)

  • Francis W. Zwiers

    (Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium, University of Victoria)

Abstract

Recent observed global warming is significantly less than that simulated by climate models. This difference might be explained by some combination of errors in external forcing, model response and internal climate variability.

Suggested Citation

  • John C. Fyfe & Nathan P. Gillett & Francis W. Zwiers, 2013. "Overestimated global warming over the past 20 years," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(9), pages 767-769, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:3:y:2013:i:9:d:10.1038_nclimate1972
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate1972
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    Cited by:

    1. Thomas R. Knutson & Jeffrey J. Ploshay, 2016. "Detection of anthropogenic influence on a summertime heat stress index," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 138(1), pages 25-39, September.
    2. Yi Li & Youmin Tang & Shuai Wang & Ralf Toumi & Xiangzhou Song & Qiang Wang, 2023. "Recent increases in tropical cyclone rapid intensification events in global offshore regions," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-9, December.
    3. Loehle, Craig, 2014. "A minimal model for estimating climate sensitivity," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 276(C), pages 80-84.
    4. Bala Rajaratnam & Joseph Romano & Michael Tsiang & Noah Diffenbaugh, 2015. "Debunking the climate hiatus," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 133(2), pages 129-140, November.
    5. Xiaoying Ouyang & Dongmei Chen & Shugui Zhou & Rui Zhang & Jinxin Yang & Guangcheng Hu & Youjun Dou & Qinhuo Liu, 2021. "A Slight Temperature Warming Trend Occurred over Lake Ontario from 2001 to 2018," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-16, November.
    6. Diego Macias & Adolf Stips & Elisa Garcia-Gorriz, 2014. "Application of the Singular Spectrum Analysis Technique to Study the Recent Hiatus on the Global Surface Temperature Record," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(9), pages 1-7, September.

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