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Twenty-first-century projections of North Atlantic tropical storms from CMIP5 models

Author

Listed:
  • Gabriele Villarini

    (Princeton University
    Willis Research Network)

  • Gabriel A. Vecchi

    (Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration)

Abstract

This study looks at changes in North Atlantic tropical storm occurrence in the twenty-first century, and finds that over the first half of the century, storm frequency increases were caused by radiative forcing changes, not increasing carbon dioxide. The chaotic nature of the climate system and the climate response to radiative forcing are the largest uncertainties in North Atlantic tropical storm frequency.

Suggested Citation

  • Gabriele Villarini & Gabriel A. Vecchi, 2012. "Twenty-first-century projections of North Atlantic tropical storms from CMIP5 models," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 2(8), pages 604-607, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:2:y:2012:i:8:d:10.1038_nclimate1530
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate1530
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ming Li & Fan Zhang & Samuel Barnes & Xiaohong Wang, 2020. "Assessing storm surge impacts on coastal inundation due to climate change: case studies of Baltimore and Dorchester County in Maryland," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 103(2), pages 2561-2588, September.
    2. G. Diro & F. Giorgi & R. Fuentes-Franco & K. Walsh & G. Giuliani & E. Coppola, 2014. "Tropical cyclones in a regional climate change projection with RegCM4 over the CORDEX Central America domain," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 125(1), pages 79-94, July.
    3. Gabriel A. Vecchi & Christopher Landsea & Wei Zhang & Gabriele Villarini & Thomas Knutson, 2021. "Changes in Atlantic major hurricane frequency since the late-19th century," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-9, December.
    4. James M. Done & Debasish PaiMazumder & Erin Towler & Chandra M. Kishtawal, 2018. "Estimating impacts of North Atlantic tropical cyclones using an index of damage potential," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 146(3), pages 561-573, February.
    5. Wenchang Yang & Elizabeth Wallace & Gabriel A. Vecchi & Jeffrey P. Donnelly & Julien Emile-Geay & Gregory J. Hakim & Larry W. Horowitz & Richard M. Sullivan & Robert Tardif & Peter J. Hengstum & Tyler, 2024. "Last millennium hurricane activity linked to endogenous climate variability," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-10, December.
    6. Corey Lang & John David Ryder, 2016. "The effect of tropical cyclones on climate change engagement," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 135(3), pages 625-638, April.
    7. Eric Kemp-Benedict & Crystal Drakes & Nella Canales, 2020. "A Climate-Economy Policy Model for Barbados," Economies, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-21, February.

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