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Overestimation of Mediterranean summer temperature projections due to model deficiencies

Author

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  • Fredrik Boberg

    (Danish Meteorological Institute)

  • Jens H. Christensen

    (Danish Meteorological Institute)

Abstract

This study addresses the importance of systematic biases in regional and global climate models. Simulations for the central Mediterranean region show that, unless a bias-correction method is applied, individual models significantly overestimate regional amplification of global warming.

Suggested Citation

  • Fredrik Boberg & Jens H. Christensen, 2012. "Overestimation of Mediterranean summer temperature projections due to model deficiencies," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 2(6), pages 433-436, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:2:y:2012:i:6:d:10.1038_nclimate1454
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate1454
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    Cited by:

    1. Neha Mittal & Ashok Mishra & Rajendra Singh & Pankaj Kumar, 2014. "Assessing future changes in seasonal climatic extremes in the Ganges river basin using an ensemble of regional climate models," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 123(2), pages 273-286, March.
    2. Erika Coppola & Filippo Giorgi & Francesca Raffaele & Ramon Fuentes-Franco & Graziano Giuliani & Marta LLopart-Pereira & Ashu Mamgain & Laura Mariotti & Gulilat Diro & Csaba Torma, 2014. "Present and future climatologies in the phase I CREMA experiment," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 125(1), pages 23-38, July.
    3. M. Ruiz-Ramos & A. Rodríguez & A. Dosio & C. Goodess & C. Harpham & M. Mínguez & E. Sánchez, 2016. "Comparing correction methods of RCM outputs for improving crop impact projections in the Iberian Peninsula for 21st century," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 134(1), pages 283-297, January.
    4. Kenshi Hibino & Izuru Takayabu & Tosiyuki Nakaegawa, 2015. "Objective estimate of future climate analogues projected by an ensemble AGCM experiment under the SRES A1B scenario," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 131(4), pages 677-689, August.
    5. S . K. Oni & F. Mieres & M. N. Futter & H. Laudon, 2017. "Soil temperature responses to climate change along a gradient of upland–riparian transect in boreal forest," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 143(1), pages 27-41, July.
    6. J. Refsgaard & H. Madsen & V. Andréassian & K. Arnbjerg-Nielsen & T. Davidson & M. Drews & D. Hamilton & E. Jeppesen & E. Kjellström & J. Olesen & T. Sonnenborg & D. Trolle & P. Willems & J. Christens, 2014. "A framework for testing the ability of models to project climate change and its impacts," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 122(1), pages 271-282, January.
    7. Lorenzo Sangelantoni & Eleonora Gioia & Fausto Marincioni, 2018. "Impact of climate change on landslides frequency: the Esino river basin case study (Central Italy)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 93(2), pages 849-884, September.
    8. Bucchignani Edoardo & Mercogliano Paola & Montesarchio Myriam & Zollo Alessandra Lucia, 2017. "Numerical Simulation of the Period 1971–2100 over the Mediterranean Area with a Regional Model, Scenario SRES-A1B," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-17, November.
    9. Marco Turco & Antonella Sanna & Sixto Herrera & Maria-Carmen Llasat & José Gutiérrez, 2013. "Large biases and inconsistent climate change signals in ENSEMBLES regional projections," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 120(4), pages 859-869, October.
    10. Alessandro Dosio & Christopher Lennard & Jonathan Spinoni, 2022. "Projections of indices of daily temperature and precipitation based on bias-adjusted CORDEX-Africa regional climate model simulations," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 170(1), pages 1-24, January.

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