IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nat/natcli/v12y2022i3d10.1038_s41558-022-01289-6.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Tropical forest restoration under future climate change

Author

Listed:
  • Alexander Koch

    (The University of Hong Kong)

  • Jed O. Kaplan

    (The University of Hong Kong)

Abstract

One of the most promising ways to rapidly remove CO2 from the atmosphere is through the restoration of tropical forests. Ongoing and future climate change may, however, threaten the permanence of carbon stored through restoration. Excessive heat, drought or increased disturbances such as wildfire could all negatively impact the integrity of restored carbon. To investigate these risks to tropical forest restoration, we performed 221 simulations with a dynamic global vegetation model (LPJ-LMfire) driven by a range of future climate scenarios and ecophysiological responses to CO2 concentrations. We show that carbon in restored tropical forests is largely preserved under the entire range of potential future climates, regardless of assumptions we make about the potential for CO2 fertilization of photosynthesis. Restoring even half of the potential area can account for 56–69% of the carbon storage, depending on whether areas are selected for low cost or high carbon gain.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexander Koch & Jed O. Kaplan, 2022. "Tropical forest restoration under future climate change," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 12(3), pages 279-283, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:12:y:2022:i:3:d:10.1038_s41558-022-01289-6
    DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01289-6
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-022-01289-6
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1038/s41558-022-01289-6?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Sato, Hiromitsu & Chaste, Emeline & Girardin, Martin P. & Kaplan, Jed O. & Hély, Christelle & Candau, Jean-Noël & Mayor, Stephen J., 2023. "Dynamically simulating spruce budworm in eastern Canada and its interactions with wildfire," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 483(C).
    2. Pinnschmidt, Arne & Yousefpour, Rasoul & Nölte, Anja & Hanewinkel, Marc, 2023. "Tropical mixed-species plantations can outperform monocultures in terms of carbon sequestration and economic return," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:12:y:2022:i:3:d:10.1038_s41558-022-01289-6. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.