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The Onshore–Offshore Exchange Rate Differential, Interest Rate Spreads, and Internationalization: Evidence from the Hong Kong Offshore Renminbi Market

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  • Yinghua Ren
  • Lin Chen
  • Ye Liu

Abstract

This article investigates the linkages among the onshore–offshore exchange rate differential, interest rate spreads, and Hong Kong’s RMB deposits (a proxy for RMB internationalization), based on a structural vector autoregression model. We find that this differential and the spreads have significant effects on Hong Kong’s RMB deposits, but the rise in the spreads will lead to a decline in offshore RMB deposits in Hong Kong. The differential is a stronger factor than spread shocks in explaining fluctuations in Hong Kong’s RMB deposits. Moreover, an analysis of sources of the divergence in the differential and spreads finds several economic variables that are the significant and main factors.

Suggested Citation

  • Yinghua Ren & Lin Chen & Ye Liu, 2018. "The Onshore–Offshore Exchange Rate Differential, Interest Rate Spreads, and Internationalization: Evidence from the Hong Kong Offshore Renminbi Market," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(13), pages 3100-3116, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:54:y:2018:i:13:p:3100-3116
    DOI: 10.1080/1540496X.2018.1429262
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    Cited by:

    1. Michael Melvin & Frank Westermann, 2022. "Chinese Exchange Rate Policy: Lessons for Global Investors," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(1), pages 145-168, February.
    2. Chunming Shen, 2022. "Digital RMB, RMB Internationalization and Sustainable Development of the International Monetary System," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-22, May.
    3. Fengming Qin & Junru Zhang & Zhaoyong Zhang, 2018. "RMB Exchange Rates and Volatility Spillover across Financial Markets in China and Japan," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(4), pages 1-26, October.
    4. Ding, Shusheng & Cui, Tianxiang & Zhang, Yongmin, 2020. "Incorporating the RMB internationalization effect into its exchange rate volatility forecasting," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).

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