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An Empirical Investigation of Eastern European Bond Markets

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  • Jinghua Wang
  • John Bilson

Abstract

We examine the value of Eastern European emerging bond markets to global fixed income managers. In an environment where bonds from traditional developed markets are offering modest yields, emerging market bonds with attractive yields are becoming more popular with institutional managers. Furthermore, the returns on these bonds exhibit low correlations with traditional fixed income investments and thus offer opportunities for portfolio diversification. We develop a multifactor forecasting model and estimate its parameters using a dynamic Kalman filter procedure. The forecasts are then used to construct optimal mean–variance portfolios with and without emerging market bonds. We find that the portfolios that include emerging market bonds have significantly higher Sharpe ratios.

Suggested Citation

  • Jinghua Wang & John Bilson, 2017. "An Empirical Investigation of Eastern European Bond Markets," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(1), pages 199-212, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:53:y:2017:i:1:p:199-212
    DOI: 10.1080/1540496X.2016.1172207
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    Cited by:

    1. Stoupos, Nikolaos & Kiohos, Apostolos, 2022. "Bond markets integration in the EU: New empirical evidence from the Eastern non-euro member-states," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    2. Kočenda, Evžen & Moravcová, Michala, 2018. "Intraday effect of news on emerging European forex markets: An event study analysis," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 42(4), pages 597-615.
    3. Devpura, Neluka & Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Sharma, Susan Sunila, 2021. "Bond return predictability: Evidence from 25 OECD countries," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).

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