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Wage Growth and the Inflation Process: A Multivariate Cointegration Analysis

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Author Info
Ghali, Khalifa H
Abstract

Past empirical analysis of the relationship between wages and prices within the expectations-augmented Phillips curve model have raised doubts about the effects of labor costs on inflation. Analysis of the same data used previously reveals the existence of a deterministic linear time component in the wage and price series which past research failed to take into account. Using the Johansen (1988, 1992, 1994) multivariate cointegration technique, the paper provides robust evidence on the consistency of the markup view of the inflation process with the data and concludes that monetary policy should profit from labor costs data in predicting future rates of inflation.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Journal of Money, Credit and Banking.

Volume (Year): 31 (1999)
Issue (Month): 3 (August)
Pages: 417-31
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Handle: RePEc:mcb:jmoncb:v:31:y:1999:i:3:p:417-31

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Web page: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0022-2879

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  1. George Hondroyiannis, 2003. "The Wage Growth And Inflation Nexus In A Dynamic Multivariate Context: New Evidence From Greece," International Economic Journal, Korean International Economic Association, vol. 17(1), pages 121-138, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Yash Mehra, 2000. "Wage-price dynamics : are they consistent with cost push?," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue Sum, pages 27-43. [Downloadable!]
  3. Attilio Zanetti, 2007. "Do Wages Lead Inflation? Swiss Evidence," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 143(I), pages 67-92, March. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-12.


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