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Measuring and Dating Business Cycles in the Iranian Economy (in Persian)

Author

Listed:
  • Einian, Majid

    (Iran)

  • Barakchian, Seyed Mehdi

    (Iran)

Abstract

To verify business cycle forecasting models, they should be checked against historical data on business cycles. There is an official reference to business cycle dating in many countries. In Iran, though, there is no official or de facto reference for this, and so most of research papers propose datings for business cycles in Iran and verify their models with those datings, and the problem is that those datings are not consistent with each other. In this paper we first review the methods used for dating business cycles. Then using a wide range of data on Iran’s economy, we propose a dating for Iranian business cycles for years 1988 to 2008.

Suggested Citation

  • Einian, Majid & Barakchian, Seyed Mehdi, 2014. "Measuring and Dating Business Cycles in the Iranian Economy (in Persian)," Journal of Monetary and Banking Research (فصلنامه پژوهش‌های پولی-بانکی), Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 7(20), pages 161-194, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:mbr:jmbres:v:7:y:2014:i:20:p:161-194
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Hematy , Maryam & Pedram , Mehdi, 2015. "Threshold Effects in Sticky Information Philips Curve: Evidence from Iran," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 10(1), pages 1-23, January.
    2. Zarei , Zhale, 2014. "Assessment and Measurement of Fiscal Condition Index for Iran," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 9(3), pages 149-175, April.
    3. Hossein Tavakolian & Hamed Ghiaie, 2019. "Optimal Inflation Targeting in a Dual-Exchange Rate Oil Economy," THEMA Working Papers 2019-09, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
    4. Ghiaie, Hamed & Tabarraei, Hamid Reza & Tavakolian, Hossein, 2022. "Alternative monetary policy regimes in an oil-exporting economy," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 161-177.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles

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