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Egykulcsos jövedelemadó és gazdasági növekedés
[Single-rate income tax and economic growth]

Author

Listed:
  • Erdős, Tibor

Abstract

Az egykulcsos személyi jövedelemadó bevezetéséhez kapcsolódó kormányzati várakozások túlzottak voltak: mind a kereslet, mind a lakossági és az országos szintű megtakarítások növekedése elmaradt a várt mértéktől, és a kínálati hatások sem a remélt módon alakultak. Az egykulcsos adó bevezetésének keresleti hatása azért is gyenge, mert csak a jómódúak nettó jövedelme növekedett, és mivel a magyar gazdaság importfüggősége kimagaslóan nagy, az indukált keresletnövekedés nagyrészt az importot, nem pedig a belső keresletet növeli. A tehetősek megtakarítási határhajlandósága érzékeny ugyan a személyi jövedelemadó csökkentésére, de az országos szintű megtakarítási hányad mégsem emelkedik: az egykulcsos adó bevezetése miatt közel annyival nő meg az államháztartás deficitje, mint amennyivel nagyobb lett a jómódúak nettó jövedelme. Az egykulcsos adó bevezetésének kínálati hatása is nagyon erőtlen. Alig nőhet a foglalkoztatás, az adócsökkentés deficitnövelő hatása miatt bevezetett bank- és válságadók, továbbá a devizahitelek végtörlesztésének rendszere rontják a bankok hitelezési hajlandóságát és képességét. Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) kód E2, E31, E42, E51, E6, F43, H21, H24.

Suggested Citation

  • Erdős, Tibor, 2012. "Egykulcsos jövedelemadó és gazdasági növekedés [Single-rate income tax and economic growth]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(2), pages 109-138.
    • Handle: RePEc:ksa:szemle:1290
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Péter Benczúr & Gábor Kátay & Áron Kiss & Balázs Reizer & Mihály Szoboszlai, 2011. "Analysis of changes in the tax and transfer system with a behavioural microsimulation model," MNB Bulletin (discontinued), Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), vol. 6(3), pages 15-27, October.
    2. European Commission, 2009. "Taxation trends in the European Union: 2009 edition," Taxation trends 2009, Directorate General Taxation and Customs Union, European Commission.
    3. European Commission, 2011. "Taxation trends in the European Union: 2011 edition," Taxation trends 2011, Directorate General Taxation and Customs Union, European Commission.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Csaba, László, 2014. "Átmenettan és közgazdaságtan. Módszertani tanulságok egy részterület műveléséből [Transitology" and economics. Methodological lessons to be drawn from work in a partial territory]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(1), pages 53-67.
    2. Erdős, Tibor, 2014. "Az adózás, a hatékonyság és a gazdasági növekedés kapcsolatának néhány elméleti problémája [Some Theoretical Problems with the Relation between Taxation, Efficiency and Economic Growth]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(S6), pages 1-76.
    3. Dedák, István, 2012. "Adósságválság, tőkeáttétel és adósságdinamika [Debt crisis, capital transfer and debt dynamics]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(7), pages 749-780.
    4. Erdős, Tibor, 2014. "Adóztatás, hatékonyság és gazdasági növekedés [Taxation, efficiency and economic growth]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(1), pages 1-26.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • E6 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • H21 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Efficiency; Optimal Taxation
    • H24 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Personal Income and Other Nonbusiness Taxes and Subsidies

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