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Testing between Alternative Models of Choice under Uncertainty: Some Initial Results

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Author Info
Battalio, Raymond C
Kagel, John H
Jiranyakul, Komain

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Abstract

Experiments have identified a number of well-known violations of expected utility theory, giving rise to alternative models of choice under uncertainty, all of which are able to explain these violations. In this article, predictions of several prominent rival formulations are examined. No single alternative consistently organizes choices. Among the more important inconsistencies, we identify conditions generating systematic fanning in or indifference curves in the unit probability triangle, and find risk-loving over a number of gambles with all positive payoffs, in cases where prospect theory predicts risk aversion. Copyright 1990 by Kluwer Academic Publishers

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Springer in its journal Journal of Risk and Uncertainty.

Volume (Year): 3 (1990)
Issue (Month): 1 (March)
Pages: 25-50
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Handle: RePEc:kap:jrisku:v:3:y:1990:i:1:p:25-50

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  1. Peter Brooks & Horst Zank, 2005. "Loss Averse Behavior," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 31(3), pages 301-325, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Zvi Safra & Uzi Segal, 2006. "Calibration Results for Non-Expected Utility Theories," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 645, Boston College Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Drew Fudenberg & David K Levine, 2009. "Self Control, Risk Aversion, and the Allais Paradox," Levine's Working Paper Archive 843644000000000332, David K. Levine. [Downloadable!]
  4. Robin Cubitt & Chris Starmer & Robert Sugden, 1998. "On the Validity of the Random Lottery Incentive System," Experimental Economics, Springer, vol. 1(2), pages 115-131, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Seidl, C. & Traub, S., 1996. "Rational choice and the relevance of irrelevant alternatives," Discussion Paper 91, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
  6. Matsushita, Raul & Baldo, Dinora & Martin, Bruna & Da Silva, Sergio, 2007. "The biological basis of expected utility anomalies," MPRA Paper 4520, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  7. William S. Neilson, 1993. "An Expected Utility-User's Guide to Nonexpected Utility Experiments," Eastern Economic Journal, Eastern Economic Association, vol. 19(3), pages 257-274, Summer. [Downloadable!]
  8. Peter Wakker & Veronika Köbberling & Christiane Schwieren, 2007. "Prospect-theory’s Diminishing Sensitivity Versus Economics’ Intrinsic Utility of Money: How the Introduction of the Euro can be Used to Disentangle the Two Empirically," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 63(3), pages 205-231, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Pavlo R. Blavatskyy, . "A Stochastic Expected Utility Theory," IEW - Working Papers iewwp231, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - IEW. [Downloadable!]
  10. Benjamin Y. Hayden & Sarah R. Heilbronner & Amrita C. Nair & Michael L. Platt, 2008. "Cognitive influences on risk-seeking by rhesus macaques," Judgment and Decision Making, Society for Judgment and Decision Making, vol. 3, pages 389-395, June. [Downloadable!]
  11. Lise Vesterlund & Bill Harbaugh & Kate Krause, 2005. "The Fourfold Pattern of Risk Attitudes in Choice and Pricing Tasks," Working Papers 268, University of Pittsburgh, Department of Economics, revised Jan 2005.
  12. Jeremy Clark, 2002. "House Money Effects in Public Good Experiments," Experimental Economics, Springer, vol. 5(3), pages 223-231, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. Lucy Ackert & Narat Charupat & Bryan Church & Richard Deaves, 2006. "An experimental examination of the house money effect in a multi-period setting," Experimental Economics, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 5-16, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  14. Julio J. Rotemberg, 2006. "Minimally acceptable altruism and the ultimatum game," Working Papers 06-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston. [Downloadable!]
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  15. Horst Zank, 2007. "On the Paradigm of Loss Aversion," The School of Economics Discussion Paper Series 0710, Economics, The University of Manchester. [Downloadable!]
  16. Pavlo R. Blavatskyy, . "Axiomatization of a Preference for Most Probable Winner," IEW - Working Papers iewwp230, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - IEW. [Downloadable!]
  17. Zvi Safra & Uzi Segal, 2005. "Are Universal Preferences Possible? Calibration Results for Non-Expected Utility Theories," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 633, Boston College Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  18. Serge Blondel, 2002. "Testing Theories of Choice Under Risk: Estimation of Individual Functionals," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 251-265, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  19. Matthew Rabin & Georg Weizsäcker, 2007. "Narrow Bracketing and Dominated Choices," IZA Discussion Papers 3040, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
  20. Pavlo Blavatskyy, 2007. "Stochastic expected utility theory," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 34(3), pages 259-286, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  21. E. Elisabet Rutstrom & Glenn W. Harrison & Morten I. Lau, 2004. "Estimating Risk Attitudes in Denmark," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 201, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
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