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Anatomy of an ARM: The Interest-Rate Risk of Adjustable-Rate Mortgages

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  • Stanton, Richard
  • Wallace, Nancy
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    Abstract

    This article analyzes the dynamics of the commonly used indices for adjustable rate mortgages and systematically compares the effects of their time-series properties on the interest-rate sensitivity of adjustable-rate mortgages. Our ARM valuation methodology allows us simultaneously to capture the effects of index dynamics, discrete coupon adjustment, mortgage prepayment, and both lifetime and periodic caps and floors. We can, moreover, either calculate an optimal prepayment strategy for mortgage holders or use an empirical prepayment function. We find that the different dynamics of the major ARM indices lead to significant variation in the interest-rate sensitivities of loans based on different indices. We also find that changing assumptions about contract features, such as loan caps and coupon reset frequency, has a significant, and in some cases unexpected, impact on our results. Copyright 1999 by Kluwer Academic Publishers

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Springer in its journal Journal of Real Estate Finance & Economics.

    Volume (Year): 19 (1999)
    Issue (Month): 1 (July)
    Pages: 49-67

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    Handle: RePEc:kap:jrefec:v:19:y:1999:i:1:p:49-67

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    Web page: http://www.springerlink.com/link.asp?id=102945

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    Cited by:
    1. John Y. Campbell & Joao F. Cocco, 2003. "Household Risk Management and Optimal Mortgage Choice," NBER Working Papers 9759, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Brahima Coulibaly & Geng Li, 2007. "Choice of mortgage contracts: evidence from the Survey of Consumer Finances," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2007-50, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    3. Jane Dokko & Brian Doyle & Michael T. Kiley & Jinill Kim & Shane Sherlund & Jae Sim & Skander Van den Heuvel, 2009. "Monetary policy and the housing bubble," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2009-49, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    4. John Y. Campbell, 2006. "Household Finance," NBER Working Papers 12149, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Svenstrup, Mikkel, 2003. "Valuation of Path-Dependent Interest Rate Derivatives in a Finite Difference Setup," Finance Working Papers 02-21, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
    6. Isil Erol & Kanak Patel, 2007. "Pricing the Default Option of Inflation-Indexed Mortgages Using Explicit Finite Difference Method," International Real Estate Review, Asian Real Estate Society, vol. 10(1), pages 48-92.
    7. Svenstrup, Mikkel, 2002. "Mortgage Choice - The Danish Case," Finance Working Papers 02-22, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.

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