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The Causal Relationships between Residential Property Prices and Rentals in Hong Kong: 1982-1991

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  • Cheung, Yan-leung
  • Tsang, Shu-ki
  • Mak, Sui-choi

Abstract

This study examines the causal relationships between sale price changes and rental rate changes in the Hong Kong real estate market. Three different hypotheses are put forth: (1) the demands in the two markets are substitutes, (2) prices and rentals are positively correlated; and (3) prices and rentals are not correlated because of market segmentation. Using quarterly data of sale prices and rental rates for the five categories of residential property from four different districts, causal relationships are not found in 29 cases out of 40. For the other 11 cases, we find that price changes lead rental rate changes. The lag period is found to be one quarter, and this shows that the two markets are efficient: only one quarterly lag is necessary to establish causality where it exists. Copyright 1995 by Kluwer Academic Publishers

Suggested Citation

  • Cheung, Yan-leung & Tsang, Shu-ki & Mak, Sui-choi, 1995. "The Causal Relationships between Residential Property Prices and Rentals in Hong Kong: 1982-1991," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 10(1), pages 23-35, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:kap:jrefec:v:10:y:1995:i:1:p:23-35
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    Cited by:

    1. I-Chun Tsai, 2021. "Price Rigidity and Vacancy Rates: The Framing Effect on Rental Housing Markets," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 63(4), pages 547-564, November.
    2. Shu-Ki Tsang & Shu-Hung Tang, 1998. "The Impact of the China Factor on the pre-1997 Hong Kong Economy: a macroeconometric analysis," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(1), pages 89-106.
    3. Kwok-Chiu Lam, 2016. "The Responsiveness of Hong Kong Private Residential Housing Prices," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(1), pages 26-36.
    4. Mimi Liu & Jeremy Clark, 2017. "The effect of the price or rental cost of housing on family size: a theoretical analysis with reference to New Zealand," New Zealand Economic Papers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(3), pages 281-301, September.
    5. Eddie Chi-man Hui & Xian Zheng, 2012. "The dynamic correlation and volatility of real estate price and rental: an application of MSV model," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(23), pages 2985-2995, August.
    6. Honglin Wang & Chu Zhang & Weihang Dai, 2013. "Rental Adjustment and Housing Prices: Evidence from Hong Kong's Residential Property Market," Working Papers 012013, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
    7. Guangping Liu & Xiayuan Chang, 2021. "The Impact of Rising Housing Rent on Residents’ Consumption and Its Underlying Mechanism: Empirical Evidence from China," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(2), pages 21582440211, May.
    8. Chieh-hsuan Wang & Chien-ping Chung & Jen-Te Hwang, 2012. "Hedonic and GMM Estimates of the Relationship between House Prices and Rents in Taiwan," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(3), pages 2231-2245.

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