IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/kap/jcopol/v46y2023i2d10.1007_s10603-023-09540-z.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Potential Impact of E-cigarettes on the Life-Years Lost from Conventional Smoking in the Russian Federation

Author

Listed:
  • G. Mzhavanadze

    (Healthy Initiatives
    TSU: Ivane Javakhishvili Tbilisi State University)

  • D. Yanin

    (Healthy Initiatives)

Abstract

This study analyses the potential impact of e-cigarettes on the death toll of cigarette smoking in the Russian Federation by working under a variety of assumptions pertaining to how much vaping might affect smoking cessation and initiation, and its adverse impacts on health in comparison to conventional smoking. Within this study, each combination of these assumptions generates a single vaping scenario (210 in total). A dynamic population simulation model, specifically for the Russian Federation, that is tailoured to tobacco control policy analysis, is built for estimation purposes. Considering the toll of smoking on cumulative life-years saved via the inclusion of vaping across a period of 80 years, the simulation analysis produces positive results in 88.1% of e-cigarette scenarios, ranging from − 3.3 million to 38.5 million life-years saved. In relative terms, the estimated life-years saved from vaping varies from − 1.6 to 18.6% of the predicted life-years lost from smoking. Most of the model scenarios involve a significant number of individuals who stopped smoking in favour of vaping. These results suggest that vaping has great potential to reduce the prevalence of smoking and the related death toll in the Russian Federation.

Suggested Citation

  • G. Mzhavanadze & D. Yanin, 2023. "The Potential Impact of E-cigarettes on the Life-Years Lost from Conventional Smoking in the Russian Federation," Journal of Consumer Policy, Springer, vol. 46(2), pages 253-274, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:jcopol:v:46:y:2023:i:2:d:10.1007_s10603-023-09540-z
    DOI: 10.1007/s10603-023-09540-z
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10603-023-09540-z
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10603-023-09540-z?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ramamurthi, D. & Gall, P.A. & Ayoub, N. & Jackler, R.K., 2016. "Leading-Brand advertisement of quitting smoking benefits for E-Cigarettes," American Journal of Public Health, American Public Health Association, vol. 106(11), pages 2057-2063.
    2. Messer, K. & Trinidad, D.R. & Al-Delaimy, W.K. & Pierce, J.P., 2008. "Smoking cessation rates in the United States: A comparison of young adult and older smokers," American Journal of Public Health, American Public Health Association, vol. 98(2), pages 317-322.
    3. Jin, Lawrence & Kenkel, Don & Liu, Feng & Wang, Hua, 2015. "Retrospective and Prospective Benefit-Cost Analyses of U.S. Anti-Smoking Policies 1," Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 6(1), pages 154-186, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Samir S Soneji & Hai-Yen Sung & Brian A Primack & John P Pierce & James D Sargent, 2018. "Quantifying population-level health benefits and harms of e-cigarette use in the United States," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(3), pages 1-19, March.
    2. Mette Rasmussen & Berit Lilienthal Heitmann & Hanne Tønnesen, 2013. "Effectiveness of the Gold Standard Programmes (GSP) for Smoking Cessation in Pregnant and Non-Pregnant Women," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-14, August.
    3. Donald S. Kenkel & Sida Peng & Michael F. Pesko & Hua Wang, 2020. "Mostly harmless regulation? Electronic cigarettes, public policy, and consumer welfare," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(11), pages 1364-1377, November.
    4. Trinidad Beleche & Nellie Lew & Rosemarie L. Summers & J. Laron Kirby, 2018. "Are Graphic Warning Labels Stopping Millions of Smokers? A Comment on Huang, Chaloupka, and Fong," Econ Journal Watch, Econ Journal Watch, vol. 15(2), pages 129–157-1, May.
    5. Miaw Yn Jane Ling & Ahmad Farid Nazmi Abdul Halim & Dzulfitree Ahmad & Norfazilah Ahmad & Nazarudin Safian & Azmawati Mohammed Nawi, 2023. "Prevalence and Associated Factors of E-Cigarette Use among Adolescents in Southeast Asia: A Systematic Review," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(5), pages 1-16, February.
    6. Helen G. Levy & Edward C. Norton & Jeffrey A. Smith, 2018. "Tobacco Regulation and Cost-Benefit Analysis: How Should We Value Foregone Consumer Surplus?," American Journal of Health Economics, MIT Press, vol. 4(1), pages 1-25, Winter.
    7. Hunt Allcott & Judd B. Kessler, 2015. "The Welfare Effects of Nudges: A Case Study of Energy Use Social Comparisons," NBER Working Papers 21671, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Mateusz Jankowski & Joshua Allan Lawson & Andrei Shpakou & Michał Poznański & Tadeusz Maria Zielonka & Ludmila Klimatckaia & Yelena Loginovich & Marta Rachel & Justína Gereová & Łukasz Minarowski & Ih, 2019. "Smoking Cessation and Vaping Cessation Attempts among Cigarette Smokers and E-Cigarette Users in Central and Eastern Europe," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(1), pages 1-13, December.
    9. Wei-Hsin Huang & Hsin-Yin Hsu & Betty Chia-Chen Chang & Fong-Ching Chang, 2018. "Factors Correlated with Success Rate of Outpatient Smoking Cessation Services in Taiwan," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-7, June.
    10. Philip DeCicca & Donald Kenkel & Feng Liu & Hua Wang, 2017. "Behavioral Welfare Economics and FDA Tobacco Regulations," Advances in Health Economics and Health Services Research, in: Human Capital and Health Behavior, volume 25, pages 143-179, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    11. Bo Feng & Michael F. Pesko, 2019. "Revisiting the Effects of Tobacco Retailer Compliance Inspections on Youth Tobacco Use," American Journal of Health Economics, MIT Press, vol. 5(4), pages 509-532, Fall.
    12. Yeji Lee & Kang-Sook Lee & Haena Kim, 2019. "Predictors of Abstinence from Smoking: A Retrospective Study of Male College Students Enrolled in a Smoking Cessation Service," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(18), pages 1-12, September.
    13. Robinson, Lisa A. & Viscusi, W. Kip & Zeckhauser, Richard J., 2016. "Efficient Warnings, Not "Wolf or Rabbit" Warnings," Working Paper Series 16-033, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government.
    14. Elaine M. Hernandez & Mike Vuolo & Laura C. Frizzell & Brian C. Kelly, 2019. "Moving Upstream: The Effect of Tobacco Clean Air Restrictions on Educational Inequalities in Smoking Among Young Adults," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 56(5), pages 1693-1721, October.
    15. Allison Lee & Angela A. Chang & Joanne Chen Lyu & Pamela M. Ling & Stephanie L. Hsia, 2022. "Characterizing Participant Perceptions about Smoking-Cessation Pharmacotherapy and E-Cigarettes from Facebook Smoking-Cessation Support Groups," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(12), pages 1-12, June.
    16. Sophie Massin & Maxence Miéra, 2020. "Measuring consumer surplus in the case of addiction: A re-examination of the rational benchmark algebra," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(4), pages 3171-3181.
    17. Rebecca Schnall & Jasmine Carcamo & Tiffany Porras & Ming-Chun Huang & Monica Webb Hooper, 2019. "Use of the Phase-Based Model of Smoking Treatment to Guide Intervention Development for Persons Living with HIV Who Self-Identify as African American Tobacco Smokers," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(10), pages 1-12, May.
    18. Brooke L. Bennett & Pallav Pokhrel, 2018. "Weight Concerns and Use of Cigarettes and E-Cigarettes among Young Adults," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-10, May.
    19. Hunt Allcott & Charlie Rafkin, 2020. "Optimal Regulation of E-cigarettes: Theory and Evidence," NBER Working Papers 27000, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    20. Annemarie D. Jagielo & Amy Chieng & Cindy Tran & Amy Pirkl & Ann Cao-Nasalga & Ashley Bragg & Rachelle Mirkin & Judith J. Prochaska, 2024. "Predictors of Patient Engagement in Telehealth-Delivered Tobacco Cessation Treatment during the COVID-19 Pandemic," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 21(2), pages 1-12, January.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kap:jcopol:v:46:y:2023:i:2:d:10.1007_s10603-023-09540-z. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.