IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/kap/apfinm/v28y2021i3d10.1007_s10690-020-09326-0.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Evaluating Financial System Stability Using Heatmap from Aggregate Financial Stability Index with Change Point Analysis Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Apriliani Gustiana

    (Badan Pusat Statistik)

  • Nasrudin

    (Politeknik Statistika STIS)

Abstract

The financial system stability is an important issue to be evaluated and controlled in order to withstand the threat of a crisis that may occur in Indonesia. Bank Indonesia has constructed Indeks Stabilitas Sistem Keuangan (ISSK) to respond the issue, but ISSK is not considering global economy effect into the index construction. While there is another measurement called Aggregate Financial Stability Index (AFSI) that capable to consider both global economy and ISSK dimensions. However, each dimension is considered to have the same contribution to AFSI, despite the contributions are different in fact. Therefore, this research aims to construct AFSI using Change Point Analysis (CPA) on weighting stage for showing that each dimension has different contribution. The constructed AFSI was good and was able to capture crisis period that occurred in Indonesia during the research period. In addition, AFSI using CPA also utilized for knowing source of instability in each period using a heatmap. In general, instability that occurred in Indonesia dominantly caused by the vulnerability of financial system. This research also found that each period of crisis always follows by pressure from global economic condition. AFSI using CPA is expected to be an alternative or support measure of ISSK in determining related policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Apriliani Gustiana & Nasrudin, 2021. "Evaluating Financial System Stability Using Heatmap from Aggregate Financial Stability Index with Change Point Analysis Approach," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 28(3), pages 367-396, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:apfinm:v:28:y:2021:i:3:d:10.1007_s10690-020-09326-0
    DOI: 10.1007/s10690-020-09326-0
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10690-020-09326-0
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10690-020-09326-0?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mr. Garry J. Schinasi, 2004. "Defining Financial Stability," IMF Working Papers 2004/187, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Mark Illing & Ying Liu, 2003. "An Index of Financial Stress for Canada," Staff Working Papers 03-14, Bank of Canada.
    3. Dimitrios P. Louzis & Angelos T. Vouldis, 2013. "A financial systemic stress index for Greece," Working Papers 155, Bank of Greece.
    4. Albulescu, Claudiu Tiberiu, 2010. "Forecasting The Romanian Financial System Stability Using A Stochastic Simulation Model," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 81-98, March.
    5. Iman Gunadi & Aditya Anta Taruna & Cicilia A. Harun, 2013. "Penggunaan Indeks Stabilitas Sistem Keuangan (ISSK) Dalam Pelaksanaan Surveilans Makroprudensial," Working Papers WP/15/2013, Bank Indonesia.
    6. Marcelo Bianconi & Joe A. Yoshino & Mariana O. Machado de Sousa, 2011. "BRIC and the U.S. Financial Crisis: An Empirical Investigation of Stocks and Bonds Markets," Discussion Papers Series, Department of Economics, Tufts University 0764, Department of Economics, Tufts University.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Mahjus Ekananda, 2022. "The Nonlinear Impact of Payment System Innovation on Financial System Stability in the ASEAN-4 Countries," Economics and Finance in Indonesia, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Indonesia, vol. 68, pages 114-131, Desember.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Samia Nasreen & Sofia Anwar, 2020. "Financial Stability And The Role Of Economic And Financial Integration In South Asia: Evidence From Time-Series Data," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 65(02), pages 303-333, March.
    2. Samia Nasreen & Sofia Anwar, 2017. "Financial Stability And The Role Of Economic And Financial Integration In South Asia: Evidence From Time-Series Data," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 65(02), pages 303-333, March.
    3. Nadri , Kamran & Ebrahimi , Sajad & Fadaie , Abbas, 2018. "An Investigation of Co-Movement of Financial Stability Index with Macro-Prudential Indicator through Wavelet Analysis," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 13(2), pages 125-151, April.
    4. Nadežda Sinenko & Deniss Titarenko & Mikus Arinš, 2013. "The Latvian financial stress index as an important element of the financial system stability monitoring framework," Baltic Journal of Economics, Baltic International Centre for Economic Policy Studies, vol. 13(2), pages 85-110, December.
    5. Magdalena Ziolo & Beata Zofia Filipiak & Iwona Bąk & Katarzyna Cheba, 2019. "How to Design More Sustainable Financial Systems: The Roles of Environmental, Social, and Governance Factors in the Decision-Making Process," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(20), pages 1-34, October.
    6. Shaen Corbet, 2014. "The European Financial Market Stress Index," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 4(1), pages 217-230.
    7. Dieter Gramlich & Mikhail V. Oet & Stephen J. Ong, 2013. "Policy in adaptive financial markets—the use of systemic risk early warning tools," Working Papers (Old Series) 1309, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    8. Hayet Abbad & Mohamed Achouche & Yamina Tadjeddine, 2015. "Evaluation du système financier Algérien : Construction d’un indice agrégé de stabilité bancaire," Working Papers hal-04141394, HAL.
    9. Mansour-Ichrakieh, Layal, 2020. "The impact of Israeli Geopolitical Risks on the Lebanese Financial Market: A Destabilizer Multiplier," MPRA Paper 99376, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Oparah Felix Chukwudi & James Tumba Henry, 2020. "Monetary Policy and Financial Stability in the Nigerian Banking Industry," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 11(1), pages 82-114, January.
    11. Akosah, Nana & Loloh, Francis & Lawson, Natalia & Kumah, Claudia, 2018. "Measuring Financial Stability in Ghana: A New Index-Based Approach," MPRA Paper 86634, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Emmanuel C. Mamatzakis & Mike G. Tsionas, 2021. "A Bayesian panel stochastic volatility measure of financial stability," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 5363-5384, October.
    13. Layal MansourIshrakieh & Leila Dagher & Sadika El Hariri, 2020. "A financial stress index for a highly dollarized developing country : The case of Lebanon," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 20(2), pages 43-52.
    14. Shaen Corbet & Cian Twomey, 2014. "An index of financial market stress for the United Kingdom," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 3(2), pages 127-133.
    15. Petr Jakubík & Tomáš Slacík, 2013. "Measuring Financial (In)Stability in Emerging Europe: A New Index-Based Approach," Financial Stability Report, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 25, pages 102-117.
    16. Mansour-Ichrakieh, Layal & Zeaiter, Hussein, 2019. "The role of geopolitical risks on the Turkish economy opportunity or threat," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    17. Ameni GHENIMI & khaled OWEIS & Mohamed Ali OMRI, 2016. "Financial stability of islamic banks in the MENA countries during financial crisis and political uncertainty: an empirical investigation," Journal of Academic Finance, RED research unit, university of Gabes, Tunisia, vol. 7(1), June.
    18. Ameni GHENIMI & khaled OWEIS & Mohamed Ali OMRI, 2016. "Financial stability of islamic banks in the MENA countries during financial crisis and political uncertainty: an empirical investigation," Journal of Academic Finance, RED research unit, university of Gabes, Tunisia, vol. 7(1), June.
    19. Claudiu Tiberiu ALBULESCU, 2011. "Macro-Financial Risks and Central Banks: What Changes Has the Crisis Triggered?," Timisoara Journal of Economics, West University of Timisoara, Romania, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 4(3(15)), pages 135-142.
    20. Mansour Ishrakieh, Layal & Dagher, Leila & El Hariri, Sadika, 2018. "The Institute of Financial Economics Financial Stress Index (IFEFSI) for Lebanon," MPRA Paper 116054, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Aggregate financial stability index; Change point analysis; Heatmap; Financial system stability;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C43 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Index Numbers and Aggregation
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kap:apfinm:v:28:y:2021:i:3:d:10.1007_s10690-020-09326-0. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.