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On the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Europe / Zum Transmissionsmechanismus in Europa: Results from a Cointegration Analysis of a Money Demand System / Ergebnisse einer Kointegrationsanalyse eines Geldnachfragesystems

Author

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  • Gottschalk Jan

    (Institut für Weltwirtschaft an der Universität Kiel, Düsternbrooker Weg 120, D-24105 Kiel)

Abstract

This paper presents an analysis of a money demand system for the euro area. The objective is to investigate some aspects of the monetary transmission mechanism. Of particular interest is the interest rate channel, which asserts that monetary policy works by affecting the long real rate. The evidence suggests that the long bond rate is mainly determined by inflation expectations and that the long real rate appears to have been beyond the influence of monetary policy makers. In addition real money effects are considered. At least in the short-run excess money has positive significant effects on output and inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • Gottschalk Jan, 1999. "On the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Europe / Zum Transmissionsmechanismus in Europa: Results from a Cointegration Analysis of a Money Demand System / Ergebnisse einer Kointegrationsanalyse eines," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 219(3-4), pages 357-374, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:jns:jbstat:v:219:y:1999:i:3-4:p:357-374
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Kosfeld Reinhold, 2002. "Asset Price Channel and Financial Markets / Vermögenstheoretischer Transmissionsmechanismus und Finanzmärkte," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 222(4), pages 440-462, August.
    2. Jan Gottschalk & Stéphanie Stolz, 2001. "The Link of the Monetary Indicator to Future Inflation in the Euro-Area: A Simulation Experiment," Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 70(3), pages 416-433.
    3. Gottschalk, Jan, 2001. "Measuring Expected Inflation and the Ex-Ante Real Interest Rate in the Euro Area Using Structural Vector Autoregressions," Kiel Working Papers 1067, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    4. Strauß Hubert, 2003. "Globalisierung und die Prognose des deutschen Außenhandels / Forecasting Germany’s Exports and Imports in the Era of Globalization," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 223(2), pages 176-203, April.
    5. Jan Gottschalk & Susanne Bröck, 2000. "Inflationsprognosen für den Euro-Raum: wie gut sind P*-Modelle?," Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 69(1), pages 69-89.

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