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Bölgeler Arası Göçün Yaşlanmaya Etkisi: TÜİK İBB2 Verileri Üzerine Ampirik Bir Araştırma

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  • Tekin AKGEYİK

    (İstanbul Üniversitesi, İktisat Fakültesi, Çalışma Ekonomisi ve Endüstri İlişkileri Bölümü, İstanbul, Türkiye)

Abstract

Bu araştırmanın amacı, Türkiye’de bölgeler arası göçün yaşlanmaya etkisini analiz etmektir. Veri seti, TÜİK IBB2 düzeyinde 2009-2017 dönemine ait ortanca yaş, toplam doğurganlık hızı, kaba ölüm hızı ve net göç hızı istatistiklerinden oluşmaktadır. Hiyerarşik regresyon analizi bulgularına göre, bölgeler arası net göç yaşlanmanın açıklayıcı değişkenidir. Göç değişkeni ortanca yaştaki değişimi %35 oranında açıklayabilmektedir. Araştırmada ayrıca kaba ölüm hızı ve toplam doğurganlık oranı yaşlanmanın açıklayıcı diğer değişkenleri olarak tanımlanmıştır. Tüm değişkenler bir arada ortanca yaştaki değişimi %94,6 oranında açıklayabilmektedir. Araştırmanın bir diğer sonucu, bölgesel yaşlanma ile bölgeler arası göç arasında istatistiki açıdan anlamlı ve pozitif yönlü korelasyon ilişkisi olduğu yönündedir. Nihayet, ANOVA analizleri; ortanca yaş, net göç hızı, kaba ölüm hızı ve toplam doğurganlık oranlarının IBB2 bölgeleri arasında istatistikî olarak anlamlı şekilde farklılaştığını göstermektedir. Keywords: Endüstri 4.0, Teknoloji, Beşeri sermaye, Yetenek yönetimi

Suggested Citation

  • Tekin AKGEYİK, 2018. "Bölgeler Arası Göçün Yaşlanmaya Etkisi: TÜİK İBB2 Verileri Üzerine Ampirik Bir Araştırma," Journal of Social Policy Conferences, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 0(75), pages 69-91, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:ist:iujspc:v:0:y:2018:i:75:p:69-91
    DOI: 10.26650/jspc.2018.75.0009
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    References listed on IDEAS

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