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Fecundidad en el Ecuador y su relación con el entorno social y evolutivo

Author

Listed:
  • Cintya Lanchimba

    (Unidad de Análisis de la Información Estadística, Subdirección General, Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Censos, Quito, Ecuador)

  • Paúl Medina

    (Instituto Gregorio Millán, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Madrid, España
    Departamento de Ciencias Exactas, Escuela Politécnica del Ejército, Quito, Ecuador)

Abstract

Este documento analiza la evolución de la fecundidad en Ecuador desde el año 1990 al año 2007, período en el cual se dispone de datos reales. Luego, en base a la evolución (tendencia) detectada se pretende inferir el comportamiento de la fecundidad a corto y mediano plazo, para lo cual se utilizan las Estadísticas Vitales desde el año 1990 hasta el año 2007, la Encuesta de Empleo y Desempleo (ENEMDU) en el mismo período y los Censos de Población y Vivienda de 1990 y 2001. Los resultados muestran una tendencia decreciente de la tasa de fecundidad en el país, Esta tasa es explicada por la población femenina en edad fecunda, la población total y la tasa de natalidad. Además, se estudia el bono demográfico para el Ecuador, pues conocerlo permitirá que el gobierno tome las medidas adecuadas para su aprovechamiento. Finalmente, del estudio se desprende que el bono demográfico se encontrará situado entre el año 2013 y el año 2022.

Suggested Citation

  • Cintya Lanchimba & Paúl Medina, 2011. "Fecundidad en el Ecuador y su relación con el entorno social y evolutivo," Analítika, Analítika - Revista de Análisis Estadístico/Journal of Statistical Analysis, vol. 1(1), pages 31-55, Junio.
    • Handle: RePEc:inp:inpana:v:1:y:2011:i:1:p:31-55
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Luis Antamba & Paúl Medina, 2014. "Movilidad endógena y variaciones demográficas: una aplicación para Ecuador," Analítika, Analítika - Revista de Análisis Estadístico/Journal of Statistical Analysis, vol. 7(1), pages 51-71, Junio.
    2. Yannira Chávez & Paúl Medina, 2012. "Estructura ocupacional y bono demográfico en el Ecuador," Analítika, Analítika - Revista de Análisis Estadístico/Journal of Statistical Analysis, vol. 3(1), pages 63-69, Junio.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    tasa de fecundidad; bono demógrafico;

    JEL classification:

    • B54 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - Current Heterodox Approaches - - - Feminist Economics
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation

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