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Stochastic Analysis of Cyclic Schedules

Author

Listed:
  • R. A. Bowman

    (Union College, Schenectady, New York)

  • J. A. Muckstadt

    (Cornell University, Ithaca, New York)

Abstract

A cyclic schedule is a sequence of tasks on a set of machines that is repeated indefinitely. We model cyclic schedules as Markov chains and use ergodic theory to analyze and improve the performance of cyclic schedules in environments with machine breakdowns, yield losses, and other sources of variability. The concept of cyclic task criticality is developed as a natural extension of task criticalities in PERT networks. We show that cyclic task criticalities can and should be used to guide the management of cyclic schedules.

Suggested Citation

  • R. A. Bowman & J. A. Muckstadt, 1993. "Stochastic Analysis of Cyclic Schedules," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 41(5), pages 947-958, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:inm:oropre:v:41:y:1993:i:5:p:947-958
    DOI: 10.1287/opre.41.5.947
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Selcuk Karabati & Panagiotis Kouvelis, 1996. "Cyclic scheduling in flow lines: Modeling observations, effective heuristics and a cycle time minimization procedure," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 43(2), pages 211-231, March.
    2. Fernando Acebes & Javier Pajares & José M. González-Varona & Adolfo López-Paredes, 2021. "Project risk management from the bottom-up: Activity Risk Index," Central European Journal of Operations Research, Springer;Slovak Society for Operations Research;Hungarian Operational Research Society;Czech Society for Operations Research;Österr. Gesellschaft für Operations Research (ÖGOR);Slovenian Society Informatika - Section for Operational Research;Croatian Operational Research Society, vol. 29(4), pages 1375-1396, December.
    3. Sox, Charles R. & Jackson, Peter L. & Bowman, Alan & Muckstadt, John A., 1999. "A review of the stochastic lot scheduling problem," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(3), pages 181-200, September.
    4. Elmaghraby, Salah E., 2000. "On criticality and sensitivity in activity networks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 127(2), pages 220-238, December.
    5. R. Alan Bowman, 2003. "Sensitivity curves for effective project management," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 50(5), pages 481-497, August.
    6. Siqian Shen & J. Cole Smith & Shabbir Ahmed, 2010. "Expectation and Chance-Constrained Models and Algorithms for Insuring Critical Paths," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 56(10), pages 1794-1814, October.
    7. Madadi, M. & Iranmanesh, H., 2012. "A management oriented approach to reduce a project duration and its risk (variability)," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 219(3), pages 751-761.
    8. Sridhar Tayur, 2000. "Improving Operations and Quoting Accurate Lead Times in a Laminate Plant," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 30(5), pages 1-15, October.
    9. Scott Webster & Z. Kevin Weng, 2001. "Improving Repetitive Manufacturing Systems: Model and Insights," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 49(1), pages 99-106, February.

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