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Estimating Learning Curves from Aggregate Monthly Data

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  • Norman Keith Womer

    (College of Commerce and Industry, Clemson University, Clemson, South Carolina 29631)

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    Abstract

    In this paper the problems of using aggregate monthly data to estimate learning curves are investigated. Here, aggregate monthly data on labor hours are assumed to contain some of both fixed and variable labor hours. They are also assumed to be influenced by fluctuating quantities of work in process. A distributed lag model is developed to deal with these two characteristics of aggregate monthly data. The model is generalized to permit production rate to influence labor productivity. This generalized model is then estimated and compared to a cumulative average learning curve in analyzing the impact of a production break. A set of production data which arose from a government contract claim is used for this purpose.

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    File URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.30.8.982
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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by INFORMS in its journal Management Science.

    Volume (Year): 30 (1984)
    Issue (Month): 8 (August)
    Pages: 982-992

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    Handle: RePEc:inm:ormnsc:v:30:y:1984:i:8:p:982-992

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    Related research

    Keywords: production/scheduling: work studies; forecasting: applications; labor;

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    Cited by:
    1. Benkard, C. Lanier, 2000. "A Dynamic Analysis of the Market for Wide-Bodied Commercial Aircraft," Research Papers 1636, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business.
    2. Harashima, Taiji, 2012. "A Theory of Intelligence and Total Factor Productivity: Value Added Reflects the Fruits of Fluid Intelligence," MPRA Paper 43151, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. C. Lanier Benkard, 2000. "A Dynamic Analysis of the Market for Wide-Bodied Commercial Aircraft," NBER Working Papers 7710, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Harashima, Taiji, 2011. "A Model of Total Factor Productivity Built on Hayek’s View of Knowledge: What Really Went Wrong with Socialist Planned Economies?," MPRA Paper 29107, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. C. Lanier Benkard, 1999. "Learning and Forgetting: The Dynamics of Aircraft Production," NBER Working Papers 7127, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Harashima, Taiji, 2009. "A Theory of Total Factor Productivity and the Convergence Hypothesis: Workers’ Innovations as an Essential Element," MPRA Paper 15508, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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