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Air Force Cyberspace Investment Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Gregory S. Parnell

    (Department of Industrial Engineering, University of Arkansas, Fayetteville, Arkansas 70701)

  • Rudolph E. Butler

    (Air Force Space Command, Peterson Air Force Base, Colorado 80914)

  • Stephen J. Wichmann

    (Air Force Space Command, Peterson Air Force Base, Colorado 80914)

  • Mike Tedeschi

    (United States Northern Command, Peterson Air Force Base, Colorado 80914)

  • David Merritt

    (Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan 48109)

Abstract

Space and cyberspace operations are primary missions within the U.S. Armed Forces. Air Force Space Command performs investment planning for Air Force space and cyberspace missions. The command has performed space investment planning for more than 15 years using multiobjective decision analysis to assess the value of space programs for military operations and an optimization model to maximize space capabilities subject to performance, budget, schedule, and programmatic constraints. Air Force cyberspace operations and investment planning were assigned to Air Force Space Command in 2009. We developed an improved cyberspace investment analysis method using decision analysis techniques to support investment planning for the Air Force’s approximately $3.5 billion annual cyberspace investment. We developed four models to assess the value of Air Force cyberspace programs: a multiobjective decision analysis model for information technology infrastructure, a probability model to assess the capability to defend Air Force networks, a probability model to assess the capability to command and control cyberspace assets, and a probability model to assess the capability to perform cyberspace attacks when directed by national command authorities. The models were incorporated into the Air Force Space Command Integrated Planning Process and have been used for three years.

Suggested Citation

  • Gregory S. Parnell & Rudolph E. Butler & Stephen J. Wichmann & Mike Tedeschi & David Merritt, 2015. "Air Force Cyberspace Investment Analysis," Decision Analysis, INFORMS, vol. 12(2), pages 81-95, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:inm:ordeca:v:12:y:2015:i:2:p:81-95
    DOI: 10.1287/deca.2014.0311
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Huseyin Cavusoglu & Birendra Mishra & Srinivasan Raghunathan, 2005. "The Value of Intrusion Detection Systems in Information Technology Security Architecture," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 16(1), pages 28-46, March.
    2. Gerald G. Brown & Robert F. Dell & Heath Holtz & Alexandra M. Newman, 2003. "How US Air Force Space Command Optimizes Long-Term Investment in Space Systems," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 33(4), pages 1-14, August.
    3. Roger Chapman Burk & Gregory S. Parnell, 2011. "Portfolio Decision Analysis: Lessons from Military Applications," International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, in: Ahti Salo & Jeffrey Keisler & Alec Morton (ed.), Portfolio Decision Analysis, chapter 0, pages 333-357, Springer.
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    Cited by:

    1. M.‐Elisabeth Paté‐Cornell & Marshall Kuypers & Matthew Smith & Philip Keller, 2018. "Cyber Risk Management for Critical Infrastructure: A Risk Analysis Model and Three Case Studies," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(2), pages 226-241, February.
    2. Theodore T. Allen & Zhenhuan Sui & Nathan L. Parker, 2017. "Timely Decision Analysis Enabled by Efficient Social Media Modeling," Decision Analysis, INFORMS, vol. 14(4), pages 250-260, December.

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