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Macro and Micro Consumption Drivers in the Wake of the COVID-19 Pandemic

Author

Listed:
  • Elisa Guglielminetti

    (Bank of Italy)

  • Concetta Rondinelli

    (Bank of Italy)

Abstract

In this paper, we investigate the drivers of household consumption in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, focusing on Italy. We combine a macro and a micro approach and find that the deterioration in economic conditions can only explain about half of the slump in consumption, both at the aggregate and at the individual level; increased income and health risks significantly affect spending decisions, with heterogeneous impacts across expenditure categories and household types. At the micro level, the unemployed reduce spending for economic reasons, while the self-employed are mainly discouraged by health risks and uncertainty; restrictive measures play a minor role.

Suggested Citation

  • Elisa Guglielminetti & Concetta Rondinelli, 2024. "Macro and Micro Consumption Drivers in the Wake of the COVID-19 Pandemic," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 20(1), pages 181-237, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:ijc:ijcjou:y:2024:q:1:a:5
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D14 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Household Saving; Personal Finance
    • D15 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Intertemporal Household Choice; Life Cycle Models and Saving
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth

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