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Test of the J-curve for six selected new EU countries

Author

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  • Yu Hsing

Abstract

This paper examines the J-curve for the bilateral trade between Croatia, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Slovakia, or Slovenia and the USA. This paper finds that the J-curve is not empirically confirmed for any of these six countries. Instead, after a shock to real depreciation, the trade balance improves for the Czech Republic, deteriorates for Hungary, Poland, Slovakia, and Slovenia, and improves first and then deteriorates for Croatia. Estimated cointegrating equations show that except for the Czech Republic, real depreciation deteriorates the trade balance for the other five countries in the long run.

Suggested Citation

  • Yu Hsing, 2009. "Test of the J-curve for six selected new EU countries," International Journal of Economic Policy in Emerging Economies, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 2(1), pages 76-85.
    • Handle: RePEc:ids:ijepee:v:2:y:2009:i:1:p:76-85
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    Cited by:

    1. Hsing Yu, 2017. "Is Real Depreciation or More Government Deficit Expansionary? The Case of Slovenia," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 12(1), pages 50-56, April.
    2. Jana Šimáková, 2016. "Assessing the Exchange Rate Sensitivity of Bilateral Agricultural Trade in Visegrad Countries," Working Papers 0033, Silesian University, School of Business Administration.
    3. Jana Šimáková & Daniel Stavárek, 2015. "The Effect of the Exchange Rate on Industry-Level Trade Flows in Czechia," Working Papers 0001, Silesian University, School of Business Administration.

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